Spain December 2015

Important win in Spain for the Kangoo ZE

Last Minute Win for the Outlander PHEV

Some 350 units were registered last month, with sales up 23% YoY and the EV Share rising slightly to 0,29%, a record high, a positive result that this time isn't due to fleet deals, but to a new incentives package that has just begun.

Looking to annual figures, the 3.015 units sold this year represent a 54% increase over the 2014 result, which itself was a 53% increase over 2013.

In December, the big news were the last minute leadership change, with the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV removing the Smart Fortwo ED by just one(!) unit. This is like FC Barcelona winning La Liga to Real Madrid in the last minute of the last Round.

There were other significant changes, the Renault Kangoo ZE jumped two positions to #5, with the added bonus of surpassing the Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia twins in the race for Best-Selling LCV. Continuing with the football analogy, this would be like Deportivo La Coruña reaching the UEFA League in the last Round, at home of the direct competitor Espanyol Barcelona.

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, the chronic leader Renault won the race, with 25% Share, earning its fourth consecutive Manufacturers award, while Nissan was Second, with 20% share, followed by Mitsubishi (13%), in the last place of the Podium.

Below, you will find the 2015 Trophy Room:

Best Selling PHEV & SUV: Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, 389 units. Also last year winner in these two categories, the japanese SUV this year managed to win also the Best Selling Model trophy, a first for a PHEV;

Best Selling BEV & Small Car: Smart Fortwo ED, 388 units. Smart only won this because of the Car2Go fleet deal, if it wasn't for that, the Nissan Leaf would have renewed the Best Selling Pure Electric trophy, ditto for the Renault Zoe in the Small Car category;

Best Selling Van: Renault Kangoo ZE, 267 units. After another thrilling race with the Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia twins, the veteran french LCV managed to recover in 2015 the title lost last year to Nissan, with a record 267 sales and the best position (#5) in the ranking since 2012;

Rookie Of The Year: Audi A3 e-Tron, 102 units. Audi's plug-in managed to win this contest, profiting from the weaker performance of the VW Golf GTE (79 units) in this market, thus succeeding the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV in this category.   

Looking at the BEV / PHEV share, PHEV's gained significant ground, growing from 15% in 2014, to 25% now.

In 2016 the Nissan Leaf and Renault Zoe will try to remove the Outlander PHEV from the leadership, while Tesla will surely do much better than the 10 units registered this year. As for sales predictions, continuing with the 50% growth rate of the last couple of years, i would say some 4.500 units will be sold here.

Pl	Spain	Dec.	YTD'15	%	'14Pl
1	Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV	57	389	13	3
2 3 4	Smart Fortwo ED Nissan Leaf Renault Zoe	17 35	388 344 312	13 11 10	8 1 2
5 6	Renault Kangoo ZE Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia	76 50	267 257	9 9	7 6
7	BMW i3	30	251	8	4
8	Renault Twizy	28	176	6	5
9	Audi A3 e-Tron	3	104	3	N/A
10	Kia Soul EV	7	89	3	22
11 12 12 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 20 22 23 24 24 26 27 28 29 29 29 32 32	Volkswagen Golf GTE Piaggio Porter EV Porsche Cayenne Plug-In BMW i8 BMW X5 40e Plug-In Volkswagen e-Golf Porsche Panamera Plug-In Volkswagen e-Up! Mercedes S500e Mercedes B-Class ED Volvo V60 Plug-In Peugeot Partner EV Tesla Model S Citröen C-Zero Toyota Prius Plug-In Mercedes C350e Peugeot iOn Porsche 918 BYD e6 Citroen Berlingo EV Volkswagen XL1 Mitsubishi I-Miev Ford Focus Electric	5 17 3 16 2 1 1 1 1 2 1	79 76 62 36 28 21 18 16 15 14 14 13 10 8 8 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1	3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	N/A N/A N/A 10 N/A 13 11 18 N/A N/A 9 20 14 22 14 N/A N/A 22 14 14 N/A 18  N/A
	TOTAL	353	3.015	100

Source: forococheselectricos.com

Ireland December 2015

Another easy win for the Leaf

Diversification Edition

Finally a significant growth trend in the Irish EV market, with sales up 128% to 588 units, with the EV Share rising to 0.47%, up from the 0.27% of last year and the 0.08% of 2013, the Irish EV market is now firmly living up to expectations, will we see it reach 1% share next year?

For the fith time in a row the Nissan Leaf was crowned the best selling plug-in, this time with a record 405 units sold, way ahead of the competition, while the rest of the podium repeated last year positions, with the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV (40 sales now vs 25 in '14) in Second and the hot-hatch BMW i3 in Third (35 vs 16).

The important fact to retain from 2015 was the diversification of the market, now with 16 models available, one can say that almost every segment is covered, from the new models arriving, the most striking was the BMW X5 40e PHEV, that despite only landing in October, still managed to collect 10 units and reach #6.

BMW was in fact an active player this year, with a three model line-up and winning the runner-up status in the manufacturers ranking, with 10% share, ahead of the #3 Mitsubishi (7%) and only behind the unattainable Nissan (Consecutive winner since 2011), #1 with 72% share.

PHEV share grew a bit more (2%), now reaching 14%, a new record in this market.

Looking into the future, Nissan will continue to rule in the Emerald Island, although at some point the competition will start to run closer to it. As for total numbers, i would go with some 1.000 units by December 31st, 2016.

Ireland	2015	%
Nissan Leaf	405	69
Mitsu. Outlander PHEV	40	7
BMW i3	35	6
Renault Zoe Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia BMW X5 40e BMW i8 Audi A3 e-Tron	30 16 10 9 9	5 3 2 2 2
VW e-Golf	8	1
Porsche Cayenne PHEV VW Golf GTE Renault Twizy Renault Kangoo ZE Mercedes S500e Tesla Model S Volvo V60 Plug-In	6 5 5 4 3 2 1	1 1 1 1 1 0 0
TOTAL	588	100

Source: beepbeep.ie

Netherlands December 2015

History In The Making

2013 All Over Again - December Edition

The historic 15.908 new EV's registered last month not only blew to pieces the record registered in December '13 (9.311 units), but also represented the monthly highest volume of a given market outside China.

Although this surge in sales had a lot to do with fiscal changes for plug-in hybrids happening in January 1st (Just like in 2013), this December sales rush far surpassed what occurred two years ago, with sales 71% above what was registered then.

This event originated a Norwegian-like market share in December (23%), pulling the EV Share further North, to an amazing 9,6%.

To put this extraordinary result into context, there were more plug-ins sold in The Netherlands last month (15.908) than in the whole of 2014! (15.270) 

And to think just a month ago, i was expecting this market to end at 35.000 units...It did with 43.282. Not bad, eh?

Looking at the monthly models ranking, several new models took the top spots by storm: 

- The Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV was the Best Seller, with 3.710 units, failing to beat the 5.000 sales record of December '13, but allowing it to reach #4 overall and again collecting the Best Selling SUV title;

- The second placed Golf GTE registered around 2.500 units, scoring the best result ever for a Volkswagen, while at the same time placing it at #7 overall, representing at the same time 73% of all VW Golf's sold;

- Third was the VW Passat GTE, in only its third month in the market, it registered an enormous 1.879 units, or 55% of all Passat sales, placing it in #8 in the general ranking and as the Best Selling midsize sedan;

- In Fourth we have a veteran, the Volvo V60 Plug-In failed to reach its all-time record of 1.734 units of December '13, but came close, with 1.524, placing it as the second best seller of the midsize class, only behind the almighty VW Passat GTE. 

- At last, in Fifth we have the recently arrived Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV, with 1.494 units, allowing it to reach #11 overall and Second in the SUV league. 

Other models were also worthy of mention:

- The thought-dead Opel Ampera had its best sales month in two years(!), with 34 units, while the Tesla Model S had a year best, with 278 units, losing only to the Audi A6 (382 units) in its own league;

- The Ford C-Max Energi sold a record 538 units, being the Best Selling MPV of the Month;

- The BMW i3 had its best score in two years, scored 192 units, while the i8 established a new personal best, with 20 sales, outselling every other sports car, with exception of the much cheaper BMW Z4 (41 units);

- New sales records for the Mercedes C350e (1.300 units), Audi A3 e-Tron (1.120), BMW X5 Plug-In (585), Porsche Cayenne Plug-In (251), and Mercedes S500e (70),  

Pl	Model	Sales
1	Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV	3.710
2	Volkswagen Golf GTE e)	2.500
3	Volkswagen Passat GTE	1.879
4	Volvo V60 Plug-In	1.524
5	Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV	1.494

Looking at the YTD ranking, there were lots of changes, the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV managed to remove the Golf GTE from the Pole Position, thus winning the Best Seller Title, its third in a row, while the Volvo V60 Plug-In did the same in Third, removing the Bronze Medal from the Audi A3 e-Tron.

The Tesla Model S stumbled two positions to #8, to the benefit of the #6 VW Passat GTE and #7 Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV.

An important sign is visible just outside the Top 10, with the X5 40e Plug-In becoming the Best Selling BMW in the ranking, selling more than the two i-line models together.

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, Volkswagen won the manufacturers trophy, with 26% share, followed by Mitsubishi (20%) and Volvo (16%). A curious fact, last year Volkswagen ended in Sixth, with only 3% share...

Below, you will find the 2015 Trophy Room:

Best Selling PHEV & SUV: Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, 8.759 units. The Mitsu was also last year winner (And the year before...), this time improving its performance by 14%;

Best Selling BEV: Tesla Model S, 1.891 units. The american car had also won this title last year, but the main difference was that at the time it ended in Third on the EV ranking and now, despite improving its performance 29%, it is only #8, submerged in a sea of plug-in hybrids;

Best Selling Small Car: BMW i3, 575 units. The Dutch EV market much into small cars, with the exception being the BMW i3, a car with strong personality and sporty aspirations. It was the best seller this year, like the year before, at the time with 540 units;

Best Selling Van: Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia, 199 units. Another market where stolen by Nissan from the hands of the Renault Kangoo ZE;

Rookie Of The Year: Mercedes C350e, 3.869 units. Succeeding to the VW Golf GTE, the Mercedes mid-size offering had little competition in the begginning, but ended the race pressured by the VW Passat GTE and Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV, two models launched too late into the year to reach the C350e.     

Looking at the BEV / PHEV share, this year PHEV's were (even) more predominant in this market, conquering a record 90% share, 13% more than last year, confirming The Netherlands as the plug-in hybrid capital of the EV World.

The Outlander PHEV will have a number of competitors, especially from the VW team (Golf GTE & Passat GTE), but the Mercedes C350e and Volvo XC90 T8 will also have a word to say. Pure electrics will recover share, but it won't be enough for their best sellers (Tesla) to reach the podium. As for sales predictions, after this sales overdose, the hangover will be hard in the first half of 2016, so i would say some 25-30.000 units would be a realistic goal.

Pl	Netherlands	Dec.	YTD	%	'14Pl
1 2	Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV Volkswagen Golf GTE	3.710 2.565	8.759 8.183	20 19	1 6
3	Volvo V60 Plug-In	1.524	4.400	10	2
4	Audi A3 e-Tron	1.120	4.358	10	12
5 6 7 8 9	Mercedes C350e e) Volkwagen Passat GTE Volvo XC90 T8 Plug-In Tesla Model S Ford C-Max Energi	1.300 1.879 1.494 278 538	3.869 3.166 2.494 1.891 1.229	9 7 6 4 3	N/A N/A N/A 3 N/A
10 11	Porsche Cayenne Plug-In BMW X5 40e Plug-In	251 585	1.047 895	2 2	17 N/A
12 13 14 15 15 17	BMW i3 Nissan Leaf Renault Zoe Smart Fortwo ED Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia * BMW 225xe Active Tourer	192 11 20 16 162	575 560 223 199 199 165	1 1 1 0 0 0	5 4 7 8 17 N/A
18	Mercedes S500e   e)	70	156	0	N/A
19 20	Mercedes B-Class ED BMW i8	11 20	143 109	0 0	N/A 14
21 22 23 24 25 25 27 28	Porsche Panamera Plug-In Toyota Prius Plug-In e) Opel Ampera Kia Soul EV Renault Kangoo ZE BMW 330e Mercedes GLE500e Renault Twizy	21 15 34 10 12 68 57	88 81 80 76 68 68 60 59	0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	10 11 16 18 N/A N/A N/A 15
28 28	Volkswagen e-Golf Volkswagen e-Up!	3 6	59 59	0 0	19 13
30 30 32 32 34	Porsche 918 Mitsubishi I-Miev Ford Focus Electric Citroen Berlingo EV Volkwagen XL1	1	8 8 5 5 3	0 0 0 0 0	23 20 23 N/A 26
	TOTAL	15.976	43.350	100

* - 3 pass + 13 LCV

Source: RAI.nl

e) Estimate

Italy December 2015

 Top Dogs in Italy

Nissan Leaf #1 Edition

Unlike other markets, the Italian EV market is in the slow lane, having registered 205 units in November, up only 42% YoY, with the total numbers ending at 2.462 units, up 49% regarding 2014, while at the same time beating the previous record of 2.431 sales, recorded in 2012, time of the Twizy-fever.

Despite the significant increase in sales, the EV Share ended at 0.15%, just 0.03% above last year (0.12%), something that can be explained by the fact that the automotive market as whole is out of recession and growing at a two digits rate. Nevertheless, it is a new market best, finally beating the 2012 result (0.13%).

Looking at the models chart, the last minute changes were the BMW i3 just edging out the Renault Twizy and reach the last place in the Podium, but the headlines were for another BMW, the X5 Plug-in, scored 34 units in its second sales month, allowing for the german carmaker to collect the Top two positions in December. A telling tale for 2016?

Curious facts from two poster-childs of the EV Movement: 

- The Tesla Model S renewed its #8 of last year, with 134 units (vs 52 last year), a good performance until one realizes that their ICE competitors are still miles away: The Audi A6 ended the year with 4.383 units, the BMW 5-Series with 4.160 and the Mercedes E-Class, 2.291;

- In its first full sales year, the BMW i8 registered 44 units, far behind its ICE nemesis, the Porsche 911 (653 sales).

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, the chronic leader Renault won the race, with 25% Share, earning its fourth consecutive Manufacturers award, while BMW benefited from a strong month to pressure Nissan for Second Place, losing it for the Japanese by only four units.

Below, you will find the 2015 Trophy Room:

Best Selling PHEV & Rookie Of The Year: Volkswagen Golf GTE, 180 units. Last year winner, the Mitsu Outlander PHEV, despite doubling sales YoY, was helpless to sustain the German sporty hatch;

Best Selling BEV: Nissan Leaf, 390 units. Overall EV winner, just like last in 2014, it improved its performance by 18%;

Best Selling Small Car: Renault Zoe, 326 units. While its smaller brother Twizy took the prize last year, with 330 units, both the Zoe and BMW i3 this year managed to end ahead of the funky quadricycle and the last year runner-up, the Fortwo ED. Electrics are leaving the city and exploring new roads, and to prove it, a curious fact: Two thirds of the i3's sold are Rex...;  

Best Selling SUV: Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, 142 units. Until recently, the japanese SUV was the sole representative of this class, but the arrival of the BMW X5 PHEV has shaken things up: It took just the german SUV just two months to sell as much as the Outlander PHEV did in five...   

Looking at the BEV / PHEV share, PHEV's gained significant ground, growing from 9% in 2014, to 22% now.

Despite the upcoming 30kWh version, in 2016 the Nissan Leaf will have a difficult time to renew the title, not only the Zoe and BMW i3 will be dangerously close, but looking by the warm welcome of the BMW X5 PHEV, it seems that Italy will become a SUV-friendly market, so you never know if there will be a surprise coming from there. As for sales predictions, i would go with some 3k units, continuing with the slow, but steady growth of these last years.

Pl	Italy	Dec.	YTD	%	'14Pl
1	Nissan Leaf	23	390	16	1
2 3	Renault Zoe BMW i3 *	28 39	326 298	13 12	5 4
4	Renault Twizy e)	15	289	12	2
5	Volkswagen Golf GTE	8	180	7	N/A
6	Citröen C-Zero	25	164	7	14
7 8 9 10 11	Mitsu Outlander PHEV Tesla Model S Smart Fortwo ED Mercedes B-Class ED BMW X5 40e PHEV	5 9 2 1 34	142 134 115 79 67	6 5 5 3 3	6 8 3 N/A N/A
12 13	Volkswagen e-Up! BMW i8		54 44	2 2	9 N/A
14	Porsche Cayenne Plug-In		32	1	N/A
15 16	Kia Soul EV Volvo V60 Plug-In	13	30 29	1 1	N/A 7
17 17 19 20 20 22 23 24 25	Audi A3 e-Tron Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia Volkswagen e-Golf Fiat 500e Mercedes S500e Peugeot iOn Porsche Panamera Plug-In Mitsubishi I-Miev Ford Focus Electric	3	23 23 11 10 10 5 4 2 1	1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	N/A N/A 15 16 N/A 11 N/A 18 N/A
	TOTAL	205	2.462	100

Source: greenstart.it; unrae.it

* - 5 Bev + 34 Rex

Sweden December 2015

Outlander PHEV and Sweden: A Love Affair lasting since 2013

Records Edition - Outlander PHEV Goes Ballistic

The upcoming fiscal changes have created an enormous impact in December, with Swedish EV sales going through the roof, registering 2.080 units, up four-fold regarding the same time last year, while also shattering the previous sales record (905 sales last June).

The EV Share is up again to 2.62%, a new record that places Sweden as the Fourth market with highest percentage of plug-in share, only behind Norway, Netherlands and Iceland, while representing a significant departure from the 1.66% of 2014 and 0.71% of 2013. 

Total sales in 2015 stood at 9.039 units, 80% above the last year result.

Looking at the last month ranking, the Mitsu Outlander PHEV took the most profit from the sales anticipation, leading the Monthly ranking with a stratospheric 1.249 sales, a significant departure from the previous monthly record of 428 units registered in June '14 by the same Outlander PHEV, this performance allowed it to reach #7 in the global ranking and #2 in the SUV's, only behind the Volvo XC60.

Below the japanese SUV, the Tesla Model S also has beaten its pb, registering 172 units, staying ahead of the rising star VW Passat GTE, Third with 154 units, followed by two Volvos: the V60 Plug-In was #4 with 129 units (Best result since Feb. '13!) and the XC90 T8 appeared for the first time in the Top 5, with 92 units. 

As a curious fact, the last time there were two Volvos in the Top 5 (February 2013), the total sales were 277, the Best Seller was the V60 Plug-in (182 registrations) and the C30 Electric was #5, with...3 units.

Pl	Model	Sales
1	Mitsu Outlander PHEV	1.249
2	Tesla Model S	172
3	VW Passat GTE	154
4	Volvo V60 Plug-In	129
5	Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV	92

Looking at the YTD chart, the last minute changes were the Tesla Model S surpassing the Nissan Leaf to #2, the Renault Zoe rising to #6, while the newcomers VW Passat GTE and Volvo XC90 T8 jumped to #11 and #12, respectively.

On the manufacturers ranking, Mitsubishi renewed last year Title by a mile (36%), ahead of Nissan (13%) in Second and Volkswagen (12%) in #3. 

Below, you will find the 2015 Trophy Room:

Best Selling PHEV & SUV: Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, 3.297 units, 44% above the last year winner, also the Outlander PHEV;

Best Selling BEV: Tesla Model S, 996 units, double the numbers of the 2014 winner, the Nissan Leaf, but the real competitors of Tesla are still far: The Audi A6 sold 5.496 units, the BMW 5-Series, 4439 units and the Mercedes E-Class, 2.733;

Best Selling Small Car: Renault Zoe, 378 units, 80% above the numbers of last year winner, the BMW i3;  

Best Selling Van: Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia, 299 units, a 24% improvement over the number presented by the 2014 winner, the Renault Kangoo ZE, which by the way, had in 2015 its worst year (135 units) since 2011. 

Looking at the BEV / PHEV share, pure electrics recovered 5% share, ending with 40%.

In 2016 the Mitsu Outlander PHEV should make the treble and win another Best Seller title, but it has to keep an eye on the VW Passat GTE, while the Volvo XC90 T8 and Tesla will erode their domination. As for sales predictions, i would go with some 9k-11k units, a slower growth due to what it should be a slow start, but also because of less attractive incentives.

Pl	Sweden	Dec.	YTD '15	%	'14Pl
1	Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV	1.249	3.297	36	1
2	Tesla Model S	172	996	11	4
3 4 5	Nissan Leaf Volvo V60 Plug-In Volkswagen Golf GTE	13 129 38	841 612 401	9 7 4	3 2 N/A
6	Renault Zoe	76	378	4	8
7	BMW i3 *	30	376	4	6
8	Audi A3 e-Tron	30	349	4	15
9	Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia **	10	299	3	11
10 11 12	Volkswagen e-Golf Volkswagen Passat GTE Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV	13 154 92	278 271 165	3 3 2	13 N/A N/A
13	Volkswagen e-Up!	19	157	2	9
14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 24 26 27 27 29	Renault Kangoo ZE Toyota Prius Plug-In BMW X5 40e Plug-In Mercedes C350e Renault Twizy Kia Soul EV BMW i8 Mercedes B-Class ED Opel Ampera Citröen Berlingo EV Mercedes S500e Peugeot Partner EV Porsche Panamera Plug-In Ford Focus Electric Mercedes GLE500e Porsche 918	2 6 10 22 10 1 2 1 1	135 132 75 71 51 50 25 24 16 10 8 8 7 3 3 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	5 6 N/A N/A 10 23 18 N/A 12 15 N/A 25 17 23 N/A 20
	TOTAL	2.080	9.039	100

* - 10 BEV + 20 Rex

** - 4 Pass / 6 LCV

Source: bilsweden.se

Blog Tip (Updated)

Ever wondered how 0 kms Model S end up in countries where Tesla isn't officially represented, like Russia, Romania or Portugal?

Wonder no more, On the Road with Tesla follows one of these cars, in it we see a Model S buyer endeavor, from the website configuration, passing through the Tilburg delivery, to the current status of getting a number plate in Portugal. 

It will be interesting to see how it will develop, the moment it is finally allowed to go on public roads, first impressions, reliability, and for me a very interesting point will be this, how do you service a car that has no nearby service centers? Mmmm...

An important feature, https://ontheroadwithtesla.wordpress.com/ is in English.


UPDATE:

There is a mirror blog of this, also named On the Road with Tesla, but on a different server, (well) written by the wife of this Tesla-owner, documenting their sometimes strange life, like travels searching for superchargers, talking with the random Model S owner, besides other ev-like quirks.

In a way, it reminds what Penny from The Big Bang Theory would write about Sheldon Cooper, Leonard and the rest of the pack, if they were Tesla-fans...

Really interesting, even for people that aren't EV-nerds do not know what a Tesla is.

New models for 2016

Although technically started in 2015, it will be this year that the X will make an impact

With the Tesla Model 3 and Nissan Leaf II relegated to 2017, this years only disruptive model, the Chevrolet Bolt, will be available towards the end of the year, until then, the only significant novelties will come from China, with BYD continuing to launch new plug-ins, taking full profit of the current sales trend in China (SUV's and EV's). Volkswagen can also ride the same wave, if they decide to make the Tiguan GTE there. 

Chevrolet Bolt

This original MPV is said to have a 200 mi range, cost 38.000$  AND will be exported to selected markets.

As deliveries are only expected in the last quarter (December?) of the year, expect only a fraction (1.000 units?) of sales to delivered in 2016.

BYD Song PHEV

After the resounding success of the Tang, this is the second plug-in hybrid SUV coming from BYD.

The mid-size Crossover Song PHEV version will arrive in the First Quarter (March?) of the year, will cost around 44.000$ and will hit 0-100 kms/h in 4.9 seconds.

Once in cruising production level, i would say some 4.000 units will be sold, so i would guess a sales target of some 25.000 units for this year.

BYD Yuan PHEV

Next in line to appear in the BYD EV factory is the Yuan, a compact crossover set to launch in the first half of the year.

With AWD and an announced 4.9s from 0 to 100 kms/hour, this will be one mighty small SUV... 

I would guess the same production level as the Song, so the sales target will be around 17.000 units.

VW Tiguan GTE

This is a model VW has to get it right in order to ride the current trends of SUV's coupled with PHEV powertrains, 

Sharing the GTE specs with its Golf and Passat relatives, this will be the first test to see if VW is really supporting plug-ins, if it is, then it must sell in North America and China (with local production).

Sales target in Europe: 7.000 units

North America(?) - 4.000 units

China(???) - Lots of them. VW sells 250.000 Tiguans per year in China...

Other plug-in models will land this year, with the vast majority of them being of the PHEV variety:

BMW 330e

BMW 530e

BMW 740e

Cadillac CT6 PHEV

Chrysler Minivan PHEV

Hyundai Ioniq

Kia Optima PHEV

Mercedes E500e

New Smart Fortwo ED / Forfour ED

Volvo S90 T8 PHEV

A mention to two models that started their career in 2015, but will gain volume only this year:

Chevrolet Volt II - I would say that it will reach some 4.000 units/ month, so a sales target of 48.000 units shouldn't go far from reality;

Tesla Model X - Production ramp up will be gradual, so i would guess that the final deliveries target for the Crossover will be around 25k to 30k units.

As a fun exercise, let's look back at predictions made earlier regarding 2015:

- Renault-Nissan sales prediction: 95.000 units. Miss: Around 75k.

- Mitsubishi sales prediction: 50.000. Hit: Around 46k.

- Tesla sales prediction: 70 to 50.000. Hit, but the 50.000 units will be almost all Model S.

- Chevrolet sales prediction: 35.000. Big Miss, there were little more than 20k units sold. Reason: Limited availability of the Second Gen Volt.

- Ford sales prediction: 23.000. Hit. Around 21k.

- Toyota sales prediction: 13.000. Big Miss: 6.500 units, the Prius Plug-In performed even worse than expected.

- BYD sales prediction: 35.000. Big Miss: Around 60.000 units, almost double!

- BMW sales prediction: 30.000. Hit: Around 33.000 units, although the X5 plug-in won't reach the predicted 5.000 sales.

- Geely Group (Kandi + Volvo) sales prediction: 30.000. Hit: Around 33.000 units, although the XC90 plug-in won't reache the predicted 5.000 sales.

- Volkswagen sales prediction: 25.000. Miss: Around 37.000 units, both the Golf GTE and e-Golf sales were underestimated.

- Daimler Group (Mercedes + Smart) sales prediction: 20.000. Miss: 15.000 units. Mercedes sales were on target (11k), but Smart was a big miss, the 4k sold are half of what was expected (8k).