Ireland September 2016

Nissan Leaf, meet your nemesis

The End of an Era? - Edition

The seasonal Irish EV market is growing steadily, with YTD sales up 18%, to 646 units, already above the last year record of 588 units.

The local Golden Standard, the Nissan Leaf, had an additional 10 units registered last month, but for the first time this year, it wasn't the Monthly Best Seller, with the BMW 330e registering 21 units, the German PHEV has been collecting good results ever since it arrived in April, it is now Second in the YTD ranking and, production constraints allowing, it can be the first real competitor to the Leaf in three years, for now it has 75 units sold (In only six months), a new yearly record for any model not named Leaf.... 

Will this be a model to face up to the four times (2011/12/14/15) winner Nissan Leaf, in 2017?

Elsewhere, the another BMW climbed in the ranking, with the X5 PHEV rising one position to #7, making it five plug-in hybrids in the Top 7 positions.

Once a BEV stronghold, in 2013 it was still a 100% BEV market, PHEV's have been gaining ground and in 2016 they account for 37% of sales, and while BEV's are down 16% YoY, PHEV's are up a stratospheric 260%, we are witnessing also the end of an era here... 

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, Nissan is firm in the leadership, with 53% share, but BMW (23%) is growing, thanks to its strong (And vast) lineup, while Volvo is Third, with 9% share.

Pl	Ireland	Sep.	YTD	%	'15Pl
1	Nissan Leaf	10	338	52	1
2 3	BMW 330e Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV	21 1	75 58	12 9	N/A N/A
4 5	BMW i3 Mitsu. Outlander PHEV	3	43 27	9 4	3 2
6 7 8	Volkswagen Golf GTE BMW X5 40e PHEV Renault Zoe	3 3	21 15 13	3 2 2	11 6 4
9	BMW i8		9	1	7
10	Porsche Cayenne Plug-In	1	8	1	10
11 12 12 14 14 16 17 17 19 19	BMW 225xe Active Tourer Tesla Model S Audi A3 e-Tron Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia Mercedes S500e Volkswagen Passat GTE Renault Twizy Porsche Panamera Plug-In Volvo V60 Plug-In Renault Kangoo ZE		7 6 6 5 5 4 2 2 1 1	1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0	N/A 15 8 5 14 N/A 11 N/A 16 13
	TOTAL	42	646	100

Canada August 2016 & September Preview

Volt pushes the market forward

Canada's EV market is running hot, with 1.081 units registered in August, it was the third consecutive month that the four digits were achieved, with YoY up 62%, pulling the EV Share to a record 0.48% (And over 0,6% in August), heading the Canadian EV Market to some 9.000 units by the end of the year, thus shattering the present record of 6.657 units, recorded last year.

A local darling, the Chevrolet Volt, Canada's four times Best Selling EV, leads the way, improving its own record for the third fourth fifth consecutive time, to 421 units, which begs the question: Where will the sales peak for the Chevy product be? 400 units a month? 500? 

Spoiler alert for September: The Volt reached 446 units last month, not only new personal record, but also a new all-time high for a single model in Canada. Will we see it reach 500 in October?

The other significant model with available numbers for last month is the Nissan Leaf, with 146 units, two units above September '15.

Looking at the rest of the ranking, the main news was the rise-and-rise of the Tesla Model X in the ranking, it is now #5 with 389 units, becoming the Best Selling SUV on the market, with four months to go, the Freemont-made SUV seems certain to reach #4, as for a podium position, it's not impossible, but the Leaf lead seems too much to handle.

In the manufacturers ranking, Chevrolet is the Master In Command, thanks to the Volt success, with 32% share, followed by Tesla (21%) and Nissan (14%).

Pl	Canada	Aug.	YTD	%
1	Chevrolet Volt	421	2.098	32
2	Tesla Model S	109	1.007	15
3	Nissan Leaf	170	939	14
4	Kia Soul EV	76	459	7
5 6 7 8 9	Tesla Model X Volvo XC90 T8 Audi A3 e-Tron BMW i3 BMW X5 40e	107 38 17 20 27	389 350 243 213 172	6 5 4 3 3
9 11	P. Cayenne Plug-In BMW i8	29 6	165 124	3 2
12	Ford C-Max Energi	17	111	2
13	Ford Focus Electric	21	92	1
14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22	Ford Fusion Energi Mitsubishi I-Miev Chevrolet Spark EV P. Panamera Plug-In Cadillac ELR Mercedes S550e Smart Fortwo ED Renault Twizy Porsche 918	9 11 3	86 46 29 15 10 7 6 4 1	1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
	TOTAL	1.081	6.584	100

Source: Good Car Bad Car / Green Car Reports


Tesla Model S vs The Others 

Pl	Model	YTD '16
1	Mercedes CLS / E-Class	2.110
2	BMW 5-Series	1.329
3	Tesla Model S	1.007
4	Mercedes S-Class	697
5	Audi A6	656

Like in its domestic market, the Model S is stable at the Third Spot, but the BMW 5-Series is closer here than south of the border, maybe with a sales push (The S75 for S60 price?) it can overcome the Bimmer soon.

Tesla Model X vs The Others 

Pl	Model	Aug. '16
1	Mercedes GLE	647
2	BMW X5	529
3	Volvo XC90	255
4	Audi Q7	247
5	Mercedes GLS Tesla Model X	229 107

Now that the Model X has landed and is on its third deliveries month, we can see that its numbers have to increase significantly, if it wants to reach the same level of success of its Model S older brother, will we see it reach the 300 units/month soon?

Finland September 2016

Cool Kids Edition II

In September a total of 146 EV's were sold in Finland, up 109% YoY, with the EV Share firmly north of 1%.

Looking at the models ranking, the Volvo XC90 T8 is untouchable in the leadership, with 211 units, just like the remaining top positions.  

In the #9 we have the first change, with the BMW 225xe Active Tourer rising one position to #9, just like the VW Golf GTE, up one place to #10.

There are two new Kids making waves in the market, the Audi Q7 e-Tron registered 20 units in September, being the Best Seller last month, while the Tesla Model X registered 14 units, looking for a Top 10 position.

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, Volvo is First, with 22% share (Down 3%), followed by the increasingly menacing BMW (21%, up 1%), with Volkswagen (15%, up 1%) in Third.

Pl	Finland	Sep.	YTD '16	%	Pl '15
1 2 3 4	Volvo XC90 T8 Volkswagen Passat GTE BMW X5 40e BMW 330e	17 16 9 12	211 106 77 73	21 10 8 7	12 N/A 18 N/A
5	Tesla Model S	6	68	7	1
6 7	Nissan Leaf Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV	6 2	64 61	6 6	5 2
8	Mercedes C350e	4	47	5	7
9 10 11	BMW 225xe Active Tourer Volkswagen Golf GTE Mercedes GLE500e	8 8	47 43 38	5 4 4	N/A 4 N/A
12	Porsche Cayenne Plug-In	3	37	4	3
13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 22 24 24 26 26	Audi Q7 e-Tron Audi A3 e-Tron Mercedes GLC350e Volvo V60 Plug-In Tesla Model X BMW i3 Mercedes S500e BMW i8 Volkswagen e-Golf Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia Toyota Prius Plug-In Volkswagen e-Up! Kia Optima PHEV BMW 740e Mercedes B250e	20 9 3 14 6 1 1	30 24 18 17 16 15 11 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1	3 2 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	N/A 6 N/A 8 N/A N/A 10 17 9 14 11 15 N/A N/A N/A
	TOTAL	146	1.020	100

Source: trafi.fi

Sweden September 2016

Sweden's plug-in favorite

Tesla Model X lands in Hot Market

We start the month with Sweden, land of massive Volvo's and old quirky Saab's, the local EV market has had its second best month ever last month, with 1.617 units, an improvement of 152% over the same period last year, with the EV Share hitting once again a new record at 3.55% and YTD registrations already beating the previous record 9.039 units, achieved last year.

Looking at the monthly models ranking, while the first positions show no real news, with the VW Passat GTE leading, with 422 units (And 50% of all Passat sales), followed by the Outlander PHEV, with 214 registrations, representing 75% of all of the Japanese SUV sales.

The real news come from Tesla, placing its two models in the Top 5, with September being the real landing month for the Model X, with 129 units, while the Model S recorded a Year Best, with 163 units.

Pl	Model	Sales
1	Volkswagen Passat GTE	422
2	Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV	214
3	Tesla Model S	163
4	Volvo V60 Plug-In	157
5	Tesla Model X	129

Looking at the YTD ranking, despite a boiling market, the first positions remain the same, with the Passat GTE rock-solid in #1, with 2.885 units and 30% share, at this rhythm, the German midsize product will beat the YTD record for a single model next month, now at 3.297 units, set last month be the Outlander PHEV. 

To see some changes we have to drop below the Top 10 to seem them:

- The Tesla Model X surged to #13, and is now looking for a final Top 10 place;

- Other model destined for success is the Kia Optima PHEV, landing with an impressive 88 units, surpassing already the Mercedes C350e in the YTD ranking, the tree pointed star model is becoming a disappointment here, with the BMW 330e selling four times as much, is it laziness from the Swedish importer or are local buyers not into plug-in Mercedes?

There was another new entry in the Swedish EV Market, the BMW 740e registered its first 6 units, while on the Fuel Cell front, the Mirai has finally landed, with the first two units now scaring rolling through Swedish streets. The other competitor in this niche market, the Hyundai ix35 FCEV, also registered two units last month, pulling the market into the two digits area, for a grand total of...10 units. 

On the EV manufacturers ranking, Volkswagen (35%) is firm in the leadership, followed by Volvo (17%, down 1%) and BMW (12%) in Third, with Mitsubishi (11%) a close Fourth.

Pl	Sweden	Sep.	YTD '16	%	'15Pl
1 2 3	Volkswagen Passat GTE Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV Volvo V60 Plug-In	422 214 157	2.885 1.094 907	30 11 9	11 1 4
4	Volvo XC90 T8	78	692	7	12
5	Nissan Leaf	48	624	6	3
6	Tesla Model S	163	620	6	2
7	BMW 330e	73	440	5	N/A
8 9 10 11	BMW i3 * Volkswagen Golf GTE Renault Zoe BMW X5 40e	48 35 36 16	351 324 292 169	4 3 3 2	7 5 6 16
12 13 14	BMW 225xe Active Tourer Tesla Model X Renault Kangoo ZE	16 129 14	152 139 120	2 1 1	N/A N/A 14
15	Audi A3 e-Tron	4	115	1	8
16	Volkswagen e-Golf	19	100	1	10
17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 33	Volkswagen e-Up! Kia Optima PHEV Mercedes C350e Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia ** Toyota Prius Plug-In Peugeot Partner EV Renault Twizy Audi Q7 e-Tron Kia Soul EV Porsche Cayenne Plug-In BMW i8 Mercedes B250e Mercedes GLE500e Mercedes GLC350e BMW 740e Porsche Panamera Plug-In Mitsubishi I-Miev Mercedes S500e Others	3 88 10 6 7 13 1 1 4 2 6 3 1	95 88 86 72 45 39 37 32 26 22 20 14 12 10 6 4 3 3 7	1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0	13 N/A 17 9 15 24 18 N/A 19 N/A 20 21 27 N/A N/A 26 N/A 24
	TOTAL	1.617	9.645	100

* - 39 Rex + 9 Bev

** - 2 pass + 4 lcv

Plug-Ins Versus Regular Hybrids

Pl	Model	Sep.
1	Toyota Auris Hybrid	672
2	Volkswagen Passat GTE	422
3	Mitsu. Outlander PHEV	214
4	Toyota Yaris Hybrid	201
5	Tesla Model S	163

If we combine September sales of regular hybrids with plug-ins, we see the Toyota Auris returning to the leadership, thanks to a brilliant 672 units, followed by the VW Passat GTE and the Outlander PHEV.

The Yaris Hybrid was Fourth, followed by the all-electric Tesla Model S.

A final mention for the Kia Niro Hybrid, it registered 156 units last month and promises to be a frequent customer in the next months, is Toyota finally having a valuable competitor in the regular hybrid race?

Source: bilsweden.se

Markets Roundup August 2016 (Updated)

Some global Top 5 stats:

Pl	Top 5 markets in Volume	'16 Units
1	China	193.348
2	USA	91.622
3	Norway	29.340
4	UK	23.234
5	France	22.237

Pl	Top 5 in Market Share	% '16
1	Norway	28,76
2	Iceland	3,80
3	Sweden	3,36
4	Netherlands	2,52
5	Switzerland	1,76

Pl	Top 5 markets with highest growth rate	YoY 16/15
1	Belgium	134%
2	China	128%
3	Finland	93%
4	Iceland	87%
5	Austria	77%

Pl	Top 5 in Volume Growth	YoY 16/15
1	China	92.148
2	USA	32.796
3	Norway	6.082
4	UK	5.413
5	Belgium	4.362

Upcoming BEV Arrivals (Updated)

2017 Opel Ampera-e

Discussing the upcoming Paris Auto Show with one of EVS readers, we have reached a timeline for a number of upcoming BEV models. Now updated with some more novelties for the next 18 months:

BAIC EH400 large sedan - H1 2017;

BYD Yuan & Song SUV's - Plug-in (BEV?) versions between Q4 2016 and Q1 2017;

Chevrolet Bolt / Opel Ampera-e - November symbolic arrival, deliveries ramp-up in December;

Opel version arrival in April in selected markets, dissemination across the continent in the 3/4 following months; 

Cowin C3R EV hatchback - Q4 2016;

Faraday Future SUV - Somewhere in the second half of 2017, we will see the first production units being delivered;

2017 Ford Focus Electric - Arrival December 2016, full scale production (100 units?) afterwards;

JAC iEV6E hatchback - Q4 2016;

Honda Clarity BEV - Second Half of 2017;

2018 Hyundai Ioniq BEV (40 kWh?) - Late 2017;

2017 Kia Soul EV (36 kWh) - January 2017;

2017 Nissan Leaf (40kWh battery) - LA Autoshow debut(?), December 2016 arrival, full scale deliveries in January;

Nissan Leaf II - 3Q 2017;

Qiantu K50 Speedster - Second Half of 2017?

Renault Zoe 40 kWh - October symbolic arrival, ramp up in November, full scale deliveries in December;

Renault Twingo EV & Nissan B compact EV - Q1 2017?

2017 Smart ED - December 2016?

Tesla Model 3 - First symbolic deliveries in September 2017, rest of the year to fine tune production, with moderate production quantities and high level of QC. USA-destined units. 

Beginning of 2018, significant ramp up, mainly targeted to North America. 

Second half of 2018, full scale production for all markets.

2017 Volkswagen BEV's - Larger batteries to arrive in January 2017;

XPeng EV SUV - Late 2017, ramp up in 2018.

Is anyone missing?

News Flash - 01/10/16 (Updated)

Norway Registrations In September:

Tesla Model X - 600 units;

BMW i3 - 500;

Kia Soul EV - 340.