Monday, March 11, 2019

France February 2019


Resultado de imagem para Tesla Model 3 France


Tesla Model 3 lands with a bang 

The French PEV passenger car market registered 4,178 registrations in February, up 32% YoY, with all-electric models growing faster than PHEVs (+46% vs +16%), a big portion of this growth came from the landing of the Tesla Model 3, with 401 deliveries last month, but even discounting the "Model 3 effect", BEVs grew 26%, a positive sign that the Model 3 isn't stealing sales from other BEVs, but from its ICE direct competitors.

Also, most people in Europe would not switch from a 35k € Leaf for a 60k € Model 3...and even the demographics that buy the expensive BMW i3 would not dump it for a Tesla...They would instead buy both, one for the city/commutes, the other for the weekend trips.

This result placed the 2019 PEV share at 2.6%, with BEVs alone having 1.7% share.

Looking at last month Best Sellers, the Renault Zoe sales surge seems to have plateaued (+4%), with 1,197 units in February (#38 in the mainstream market), while the main reason for BEVs to shine came in 2nd place, with the Tesla Model 3 landing with 401 units, if those not familiar with this market might feel this is not a disruptive result, after all the Californian remained far from the leader Zoe, this event in France is like the Audi e-Tron landing in the US market straight in the runner-up spot. Amazing and unlikely, right? Right. That's how big this is.

Elsewhere, the usual silver medalist Nissan Leaf this time had to be contented with the last place of the podium, with 326 units, while the Volvo XC60 PHEV had its second record month in a row(!), by registering 284 units, confirming its status as the preferred PHEV beyond French borders. 

Another interesting event was the Kia Niro EV reaching the 5th spot in February, thanks to a record 253 deliveries, confirming the popularity of this model throughout Europe. If only Kia had enough batteries to satisfy demand...
  

Pl
Model
Sales  
1
Renault Zoe
1197
2
Tesla Model 3
401
3
Nissan Leaf
326
4
Volvo XC60 PHEV
284
5
Kia Niro EV
253

In a market known for its stability, this time there were a number of changes in the top positions, with the Volvo XC60 PHEV climbing two positions and reaching the podium, in 3rd, while another popular PHEV, the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, was also up, to #5.

The Tesla Model 3 landed in #7, and is set to reach the runner-up spot in the next couple of months, while another recent long range BEV, the Kia Niro EV, was up to #6.

Confirming Kia's good moment, the Niro PHEV jumped 4 spots, to #14, while the local Hyundai importer, is lagging behind, as the Best Selling Hyundai, the Kona EV, is only #11.  

In the brands ranking, Renault (32%, down 4%), continues in the leading position, followed at a distance by the #2 Volvo (10%) and the #3 Nissan (8%, -1%). 



Tesla Model 3 & the ICE competition


Pl
Model
Sales  
1
Peugeot 508
846
2
Mercedes C-Class
804
3
Mercedes E-Class
479
4
Renault Talisman
437
5
Tesla Model 3
401

One of the question marks around the Model 3 in Europe, regarded the impact that it was going to make on this side of the Atlantic, will it disrupt the PEV and ICE sedan market in the same way that it is doing in the US, or will it be more subdued, because it is playing away from home?

The answer is now starting to be written, comparing the Model 3 French deliveries in its first month on the market, against its most direct competitors, we can see that the Californian still has a lot of room to grow, so one can imagine the Tesla midsizer reaching some 800 units/month, once the SR version(s) arrive.

Friday, March 8, 2019

USA February 2019

Resultado de imagem para tesla model 3 stock

Tesla Model 3 leads softening market

Some 17,200 plug-in units were registered last month in the USA, up just 2% YoY, with last month PEV Share reaching 1.4%, the same as the current 2019 PEV share. 

This growth softening has to do with Tesla focusing the Model 3 deliveries in overseas markets, with only 12,250 units being delivered, but expect Tesla to ramp up US deliveries in a all-hands-on-deck March, pulling at the same time this Tesla-addicted PEV market.

Looking elsewhere, the Chevrolet Bolt was #2 last month, with some 1,200 units, allowing it to climb one position, to 4th,  while the Honda Clarity has once again beaten the PHEV competition, remaining in the 2019 runner-up spot.

In a numb stable market, there are a couple of performances that deserve a mention, the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV climbing one spot, to #18, with its US career being far from the success it experiences across The Pond

On the other hand, the Kia Niro PHEV is slowly (not enough batteries?) swimming upstream, having delivered 505 units, a strong performance that could prelude a Top 10 spot this year.

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, Tesla is now responsible for 47% of the market, while Chevrolet (10%) hangs on to Second Place, with Honda and Toyota (both with 7%) running for the last place of the podium.




Tesla Model 3 & Others

Pl
Model
2019 Sales  
1
Toyota Camry
48,069
2
Honda Accord  
39,048
3
Nissan Altima
28,405
4
Chevrolet Malibu
23,702
5
...
8
Ford Fusion

Tesla Model 3
23,675

12,250

With the Tesla Model 3 selling at a slower pace, the category best sellers gained a significant advantage, leaving the Tesla midsizer in #8, but despite this, the Californian #1 competitor in the Premium midsize segment (Mercedes C-Class) is still behind it, with 9,488 sales.

So, with the Premium midsizer trophy in the bag, the Model 3 will need the new, cheaper, SR version to beat the Camry & Co. 



Tesla Model S & Others

Pl
Model
2019
Sales  
1
 Mercedes E/CLS-Class 
6,682
2
BMW 5-Series    
6,655
3
Audi A6
3,395
4
Mercedes S-Class
1,947
5
Tesla Model S
1,675

Looking at the large premium car category, the Tesla Model S is suffering from the cannibalization effect of the Model 3, having seen its sales drop 13% YoY, falling from the usual 3rd spot to 5th.

This performance helps to explain the recent price reductions, as Tesla had do something to pick up sales of its flagship sedan.

Regarding the Model X, it's even worse as the Tesla nameplate is not even on the Top 10 of the Large Premium SUV category…