Monday, October 31, 2016

World Top 10 September 2016

Image result for 2016 Tesla Model S vs Nissan Leaf
Tesla's Cult followers pushed  their cars to the Top Spots

Models - 1-2 Win For Tesla

The global EV market continues to grow at rapid pace, with some 77.000 units delivered in September (Second best month ever, only behind the 86k of last December), representing a 54% growth YoY, with YTD sales now at 515k, we are headed for a total sales number of around 800.000 units.

In the models ranking, the Best Seller of the Month for the fourth time in a row was the Tesla Model S, with 7.910 deliveries, only 100 less than the absolute record, recorded by the same Model S last December, so as predicted last month, the Tesla Model S displaced the Nissan Leaf from the Models leadership in the Second Half of the Year, like it did last year.

Looking at the rest of the YTD ranking, the #3 BYD Tang sales are down for the third consecutive month (Softening demand?), while the Fourth Place of the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV (Sales down 50% YoY) is in serious danger, with a real chance to end 2016 in Seventh. 

The Renault Zoe is also most certainly sure to lose the #8 soon, to the current sensation, the Tesla Model X, which ended September in Second with a record 5.484 deliveries, securing a 1-2 win for the Palo Alto company, while jumping to #9 in the YTD ranking.  

Besides the aforementioned Tesla, two other models have beaten their own sales record, with the BMW i3 scoring 3.515 units, while the BAIC E-Series has beaten a 21 months-old record (An eternity in China), with 2.659 units.

Looking outside the Top 10, there was another BAIC pulling out a brilliant performance, with the EU260 sedan scoring 3.800 units, a personal best for any model of Beijing Auto, that allowed it to surge to Third in September. Will it be a future sighting in this ranking?

PlWORLDSept. YTD%'15Pl
1Tesla Model S7.91038.28271
2Nissan Leaf3.50338.04272
3BYD Tang2.12026.78858
4
5
6
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Chevrolet Volt
BYD Qin
2.397
2.501
3.125
20.001
18.931
18.391
4
4
4
3
9
4
7BMW i33.51518.25145
8Renault Zoe1.99215.97937
9Tesla Model X5.48415.813368
10BAIC E-Series EV2.65915.457311

TOTAL 76.876
515.035



Manufacturers -  Tesla & the Three B's

No, it's not a new R&B project, the title is the short story about what happened last month, with Tesla breaking records with a superlative 13.394 deliveries, followed by three brands that start with the letter "B": BYD, BAIC and BMW, their performances had different meanings for all three brands:

- BYD continues to be the Master In Command in the YTD ranking, but the Second Place in September, with 10.261 units, is somewhat disappointing, as this is the fourth consecutive month where the automaker scores 10.000-something results. Production bottlenecks? Waning demand?

-  The 7.062 units of  Beijing Auto (BAIC), came as (Good) surprise, with a 73% improvement over the previous month, allowing it to jump to Third in September and climb to #5 YTD. There are reports that BAIC electric models are quite popular in Beijing, so we could see it improve even further in the future.  

- As for BMW, the record 7.050 units (Beating the 6.030 of last December) were expected, currently the Bavarian automaker benefits from a strong (And extensive) lineup, with four(!) out its seven models scoring record performances in September. Now, the #3 Nissan is only an arms length of reach, when it passes the Japanese automaker, then BMW will become the best selling legacy OEM. Who would of thought, eh?

An interesting fact is that the September podium was composed by three outsiders: Tesla (First), BYD (Second) and BAIC (Third). Something to consider for the established OEM's...

With Chevrolet finally selling at decent levels, the American car maker is now in Eighth Place, while Renault is waiting for the 40 kWh version of the Zoe to be back in the game. 

The #10 Ford is keeping the #11 SAIC Roewe at safe distance, so for the time being it looks that it will keep the last place of the ranking all to itself.

PlWORLDSept.YTD%'15Pl
1BYD10.26174.039141
2Tesla 13.39454.033112
3Nissan3.82841.13984
4BMW7.05040.44986
5
6
7
BAIC
Volkswagen
Mitsubishi
7.062
3.614
2.875
29.644
26.280
23.560
6
5
5
12
5
3
8Chevrolet2.81621.719411
9Renault2.62021.45748
10Ford2.47718.084410





9 comments:

  1. Great work, how is the BEV/PHEV stats?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 62% BEV / 38% PHEV

      BEV's are up 3% regarding last year and they can thank Tesla and the Chinese Brands for that.

      Delete
  2. BYD Tang forecasted a new version but the debut delayed (officially to early next year, due to gov control etc). Some potential buyers are waiting.
    I would guess the company put immediate focus on Beijing (BEV only for incentives) in this area (the company has more plays in taxi, bus, other commercial market)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks for the input, much appreciated!

      BYD: Make the 2017 Tang with 100 kms e-range, CCS/Chademo compatible and you can drop one unit by my house, the adress is... :)

      Delete
    2. Actually the same situation as with the Tang also holds for the Qin. Photos of the Qin 100 have been circulating since late spring, always with comments of impending arrival. But also that model has been postponed until next year it seems. The most likely reason is the government crackdown after the subsidy fraud scandal and subsequent lack of updates to the register of car models eligible for subsidies.
      Similarly, the Song and Yuan Hybrid models are still missing. The Song will be BYD's first car with NCA battery instead of the typical Iron-Phosphate chemistry. All subsequent hybrids will use the former. Maybe that's another reason for the delays.

      Delete
  3. 2017 Tang shall be with 100km e-range. Do you think CCS/Chademo mandatory as you have a house? What is your suggestion to Tang for that business case :-)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Well, actually i'm not in an independent house, it's an apartment, but i see what you mean, i just like the Tang, with or without CCS/Chademo :)

      Delete
  4. Thanks! BYD is available in HK (stock market ;-)).

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Too bad for me that Portugal is just bit far off... :-)

      Delete