Thursday, October 29, 2015

World Top 10 September 2015 (Updated)



Models - Record Edition

Thanks mostly to another outstanding performance of the chinese market, more than 47.000 plug-ins were sold last month, which not only represents a 13% increase over the last record (42k last June), but also a significant 52% increase regarding the same month last year, pulling the YTD sales to 334k units, meaning a 54% increase over the same period in 2014, if sales keep up this pace, we should see sales reach some 500.000 units. Yep, half a million EV's in one year, this year.

And to think sales in 2012 were at around 150.000...

Thanks to the UK and its domestic market, the Outlander PHEV (4.829 units) managed to get its second Monthly Best Seller Month in three months, on the other hand, the once dominant Nissan Leaf hasn't reached the highest place in podium since May.

This brilliant performance from the Mitsu Outlander PHEV allowed it to recover the #3 from the BYD Qin, which has seen its sales dive to just 2.115 units, its worst performance since February, that drop has more to do with BYD preferring to make the higher margin Tang SUV (3.044 units, already #6 in the September ranking), than to lower Qin demand. 

Speaking of models with outstanding performances outside the YTD Top 10, better even than the Tang performance was the sales surge of the Kandi Panda EV, shooting to #5 in September, thanks to a record 3.301 units registered.

Looking at the rest of the YTD ranking, the other notable change is the Golf GTE dropping another position to #10 (It was #8 in July), changing positions with the BAIC E-Series EV.

A final word on the BEV / PHEV breakdown, currently pure electrics are winning 60% / 40%, with plug-in hybrids recovering 2% share regarding last year.


PlWORLD Sep. YTD%'14Pl
1Nissan Leaf4.257 35.948111
2Tesla Model S4.65432.995103
3Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV4.82928.79192
4
5
6
BYD Qin
BMW i3
Renault Zoe
2.115
3.361
1.665
26.156
18.040
11.782
8
5
4
7
6
9
7Volkswagen e-Golf1.10311.220321
8Chevrolet Volt (1)1.11110.61234
9BAIC E-Series EV2.10010.344316
10Volkswagen Golf GTE1.19710.231333

TOTAL 47.598
334.500



Manufacturers -  Hot Race for Third Spot

This was the fifth consecutive month that BYD won the Best Selling Manufacturer title, again with a new personal record (6.013 units), the chinese carmaker is closing in to the leader Nissan, having recovered 1.433 units in September, there are now only 1.916 units separating them, so if all continues without major changes, BYD should surpass Nissan and become new Best Selling Manufacturer in November. 

In the race for #3, Tesla is still ahead, but with only 500 units separating it from Mitsubishi, a lot can still happen until the end of the year.

In the low end of the manufacturers ranking, things are pretty leveled, with only 96 sales separating the 12.924 units of the #9 Kandi (Back to the Top 10 after a nine months absence), from the 12.828 units of Chevrolet (#10) and 149 units ahead of the #11 Zotye (12.775), with the #12 BAIC also not that far off (10.533).


PlWORLDSep.YTD%'14Pl
1Nissan4.58038.888121
2BYD6.01336.972117
3Tesla4.66033.001103
4Mitsubishi5.32232.501102
5
6
7
Volkswagen
BMW
Renault 
2.596
3.843
2.428
23.932
22.263
17.568
7
7
5
11
9
8
8Ford1.79915.33855
9Kandi4.05112.924410
10Chevrolet1.273 12.82846





(1) - Includes Holden Volt, Opel and Vauxhall Ampera;


16 comments:

  1. tesla 31k??!!

    tesla report q1 10.05k q2 11.5k q3 11.5k

    how can you get a 31K at here

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hello José. As a Tesla fan I wouldn't want to feed some naysayers doubts about theirs sales numbers, but as they had spoke about a 11580 sales figure for Q3, I can only find 10177 summing yours July, August and September numbers (3115+2805+4257). In the contrary I summed yours April, May and June numbers (2837+3601+4994) to find 11532 sales, the same figure Tesla gave to Q2. So, can you see any explication for what is wrong with Q3 figures?

    ReplyDelete
  3. My bad. I misread your September figure for Tesla which t is 4283. So the Q3 total would be 10203, but the gap with the 11580 Tesla announcement remain.

    ReplyDelete
  4. omg, 470k EVs. This is great. Meaning 0.64% of worldwide sales... :) (470k EVs assumed, 73m cars sold estimated for 2015, see statista.com)

    source: http://www.statista.com/statistics/200002/international-car-sales-since-1990/

    ReplyDelete
  5. Tesla Numbers disclosure: The number i have regards to the total sum of known tesla sales i have, the difference probably refers to sales in countries out of EV Sales radar, like Russia and markets alike.

    The difference (1.377 units) only changes the brands ranking, placing Tesla again in Third, but not by much.

    Anyway, i will change the ranking to meet Tesla quarterly sales.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Russia accounts for about 6% of Mitsubishi's total vehicle sales, it's their largest European country for sales. Since the PHEV is AWD, its reasonable to expect Mitsubishi PHEV sales in Russia to be in the order of 1k to 2k for the YTD.

    In all likelihood, Mitsubishi would reclaim 3rd spot from Tesla if they specified Q3 sales by vehicle.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I would assume so, but i don't have any data to support it.

      Delete
    2. FWIW
      Mitsubishi Motors's Outlander Sales in Russia for the period January-August amounted to 10,384 pieces.
      http://www.mitsubishi-motors.ru/news/Mitsubishi_Outlander___lider_prodazh_v_avguste_2015_0/

      Unfortunately PHEV sales are not specified

      Delete
  7. So how can you get BYD's sep 6000+ number? show me lol

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 3044 Tang's + 2115 Qin's + 465 e6's + 252 Denza's + 125 e5's + 12 T3's = 6.013 BYD's

      Question Answered.

      Delete
  8. Thank you Jose, could you please disclose UK volumes and the source for them?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. i publish a UK article whenever i have reliable sources for the UK sales, including their source.

      The last post dates from June: http://ev-sales.blogspot.pt/2015/09/uk-june-2015.html

      From then on, the numbers are mostly based on estimates

      Delete
  9. Ok José. I was thinking the same about Tesla selling car in other markets that are out of your radar, if I can say this in that way. But there is an other element that disturbed me and which can explain some differences. Thus, in the EV Obsession site, they put today the numbers for September sales in Norway, with some differences with your owns numbers. I don't what are theirs sources (yours seemed to be very accurate from a long time now), but there you can see 569 sales for Tesla instead of 127 in your September chart, with a YTD of 3685. Numbers for others cars are also different. But maybe could explain part of the difference with own Tesla numbers.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Those numbers probably include imports, something my usual source doesn't count.

      Delete
  10. What is your source for the Kandi data?

    Surprised you would rank them. Even listed KNDI's own SEC filings show they are a parts supplier to related parties, not actually a manufacturer of vehicles like the other companies on your list.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They are considered a manufacturer by the several chinese auto websites i see, that's why i include it here.

      Delete