Sunday, January 31, 2016

World Top 20 December 2015 Special Edition (Updated)

Tesla Model X: The Supermodel fat sister?

Models - Tesla Model S #1!

Thanks to another outstanding performance of the chinese and european market, an historic monthly record was set, with more than 86.000 plug-ins sold last month, which not only represents the fourth consecutive record month, but also a 51% increase over November, and a significant 134%(!) increase regarding the same month last year, pulling the YTD sales to 548k units.

The Tesla Model S was once again the Star of the Month, delivering 8.092 units (Best performance ever for a single model), allowing it be once again the Best Seller of the Month (For the fourth time this year), winning for the first time the Best Seller Model trophy, a first for Tesla.

The Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV also had an outstanding month, beating its December '13 record by a significant margin (7.058 vs 6.491), almost reaching the #2 Nissan Leaf.

Looking elsewhere (China), besides the established #4 BYD Qin, the Kandi Panda EV cemented its Sixth Spot (Up 20 positions YoY), while the BYD Tang (5.503 units, #3 in December) joined the Top 10 at #8, winning the 2015 Rookie Of The Year award and looking poised to be a strong contender for the Best Seller status in 2016.

As this is a Full Year special edition, we dig a little deeper, into the Top 20, where we can see six more chinese models (#11 BAIC E-Series, #12 Zotye Cloud EV, #15 Roewe 550 PHEV, #16 JAC i EV, #19 Kandi K10 EV and #20 Chery eQ), making it nine models coming from China in the Top 20, when last year there were six.

Good year also for EV's coming from Germany, with all of them improving their positions regarding last year, with special mention to the VW Golf GTE and Audi A3 e-Tron, both up 23 positions to #10 and #14, respectively. 

On the other side, some models dropped significantly, if the Chevy Volt losing five positions to #9 (New Generation) or the Kandi K10 EV losing nine positions to #19 (Production priority for the K11), have justifiable reasons, the Ford Energi products drop in the ranking is hardly justifiable...

Looking at the BEV / PHEV breakdown, BEV's won the race with 60%, although losing 2% share regarding 2014.

PlWORLDDec. YTD%'14Pl
1Tesla Model S8.08250.36693
2Nissan Leaf 3.63743.87081
3Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV7.05843.25982
4
5
6
7
BYD Qin
BMW i3
Kandi K11 Panda EV
Renault Zoe
1.512
3.409
4.701
3.158
31.898
24.083
20.390
18.846
6
4
4
3
7
6
26
9
8
9
10
BYD Tang
Chevrolet Volt (1)
Volkswagen Golf GTE
5.503
2.398
3.191
18.375
17.508
17.282
3
3
3
N/A
4
33
11
12
BAIC E-Series EV
Zotye Z100 / Cloud EV
1.696
2.582
16.488
15.467
3
3
16
N/A
13Volkswagen e-Golf
1.286
15.356321
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Audi A3 e-Tron
Roewe 550 PHEV
JAC i EV
Ford Fusion Energi
Ford C-Max Energi
Kandi K10 EV e)
Kia Soul EV
1.578
1.611
1.581
1.067
1.127
1.000
1.225
11.962
10.711
10.420
9.894
9.643
7.665
7.510
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
37
34
35
9
11
10
27

TOTAL 
86.434
548.210



Manufacturers -  Nissan Falls to #4

This was the sixth seventh eighth consecutive month that BYD won the Best Selling Manufacturer title, every time with a record month (Now at 10.925 units), the chinese carmaker won its first Manufacturers title (A first for a chinese carmaker), although it failed to beat the 2014 full year sales record of Nissan (63.313 units). Better luck in 2016...

Nissan took a big tumble in the last month of the year, dropping two positions and ending the year in Fourth, with less than half of the Share won in the previous year (9% now vs 20% in '14), to the benefit of #2 Tesla and #3 Mitsubishi, both ending the year with record performances and the american brand back to the runner-up position for the first time since 2010, at the time it had delivered 704 Roadsters... 


In the lower end of the Top 10 manufacturers ranking, Kandi climbed one position, ending the year in #7, changing positions with Renault, with Ford resisting in #10 to the Chevrolet attempt to reach a Top 10 position.

As this is a Full Year edition, we dig a littler deeper, into the Top 20, where we see Chevrolet in an unusually low #11, and three newcomers, the #14 Audi, #15 SAIC Roewe and #16 Mercedes, accentuating the good performance of German and Chinese brands in 2015, with the share of the first country growing from 11% in 2014 to 20% now and the second from 17% to 32%.

PlWORLDDec.YTD%'14Pl
1BYD10.92561.726117
2Tesla8.27550.57493
3Mitsubishi7.49848.20492
4Nissan3.96047.67191
5
6
7
Volkswagen
BMW
Kandi e)
7.024
6.029
6.201
40.148
33.412
28.055
8
6
5
11
9
10
8Renault4.23427.28258
9Zotye
4.297
24.516413
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Ford
Chevrolet
BAIC
Chery
Audi
SAIC Roewe
Mercedes
JAC
Volvo
Kia
Porsche
2.294
2.551
1.747
2.792
1.596
1.730
2.133
1.581
3.902
1.341
687
21.326
20.233
17.040
14.162
12.123
11.123
10.870
10.420
10.161
7.626
6.532
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
5
4
15
12
25
22
24
23
16
20
17








(1) - Includes Chevrolet Volt I and II, Holden Volt, Opel and Vauxhall Ampera;



e) Estimate



Class Best Sellers


Looking at the EV Market with traditional segmentation, let's see who are the Best-Sellers in each Segment:


* Micro-Car - Kandi K10 EV (Once again);

* A-Segment - Kandi K11 Panda EV (Surprise Of The Year);

* B-Segment - BMW i3 (Once again beating the Renault Zoe);

* C-Segment - Nissan Leaf (Third consecutive trophy);

* D-Segment - Ford Fusion Energi (Winner for the last time?);

* E/F-Segment - Tesla Model S (As ever);

* SUV - Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV (Third time in a row, will the BYD Tang allow a fourth time?);

* MPV - Ford C-Max Energi (As ever);

* Pick-Up - Mitsubishi Minicab Miev (As ever);

* Sports Car - BMW i8 (Winner for the second time, with no real competition in sight).

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Europe December 2015



Historic Month Edition

Last December had an historic result, with more than 33.000 units sold in Europe, 72% more than the previous all-time high reached in the previous month, with total YTD sales ending at 193.000 units, almost doubling the 100k registered in 2014 and the EV Share finally surpassing the 1% barrier, with 1.25% Share.

A perfect storm motivated this historic result, with incentive changes derived sales rushes in The Netherlands, Denmark and Sweden, pushing numbers artificially up, so expect an early 2016 in slow mode...  

With such unusual numbers, the monthly ranking surged numbers leading to several all-time records:

- The Outlander PHEV shattered its previous sales record (5.003 in December '13), registering 6.475 units, a new monthly record for a single model in Europe;

- The Golf GTE (3.191) and Passat GTE (2.357) have beaten their personal bests, with the larger VW reaching #5 and appearing for the first time in the Top 5, probably the first of many...

- The Tesla Model S (3.124) and Renault Zoe (3.114) not only have beaten their pb, but have also beaten the previous monthly sales record for a pure electric car, with the american model winning the record by just 10 units;

- The BMW i3 (1.718 units), Mercedes C350e (1.624), Audi A3 e-Tron (1.514), BMW X5 PHEV (838) and Porsche Cayenne Plug-In (381) all reached new record highs, underlining the increasing importance of german models (And PHEV's) in the ranking;

- Two of the models where the numbers have been more artificially inflated with the Dutch sales rush were the Volvo XC90 PHEV (1.633 units, new record) and Ford C-Max Energi (580, ditto), which have made more than 90% of their european sales in that country, with the american model selling more in the Netherlands (580) than in its home market (579);

- Even the veteran Renault Kangoo ZE has beaten its sales record, registering 742 units and thus beating a three year old record (626 units in November 2012), pushing the LCV monthly record further higher.

PlModelSales  
1Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV6.475
2VW Golf GTE3.191
3Tesla Model S
3.124 
4Renault Zoe
3.114
5VW Passat GTE2.357

Looking at the YTD ranking, the Top Two stayed the same, with the Outlander PHEV renewing its 2014 Best Seller title, while the Renault Zoe won its first Best Selling BEV title, recovering the Second Place won in 2013.

The Third position had a new owner in the last month of the year, with the Nissan Leaf tumbling two positions to #5, with the Bronze medal going to the VW Golf GTE and the #4 once again going to the Tesla Model S.

Another model dropping in the ranking was the VW e-Golf, down two positions to #8, to the benefit of the BMW i3, ending the year in #6, up two positions regarding November.

Below the Top 10 there is also plenty of action: The Mercedes C350e climbs one position to end 2015 in #11, the rising star Volkswagen Passat GTE jumped five more positions, ending in #12, will this be the 2016 D-Segment/midsize class Best Seller?

The Volvo XC90 T8 Plug-In also jumped five positions in the ranking, to #18, while the BMW X5 40e Plug-In also climbed three positions to #22. With these two models selling in such large quantities, it will be hard fot the Porsche Cayenne Plug-In to keep the Best Selling Luxury SUV title this year.

In the brands ranking, Volkswagen (18% share, down 1%) won its first european EV Manufacturers Title, followed by Mitsubishi (16%) in Second and Renault in Third, with 13%, while last year medalist Nissan ended in #4, with 10%, down 1% share regarding last November and down 8% YoY.

Below, you will find the 2015 Trophy Room:

Best Selling PHEV & SUV: Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, 31.340 units. The japanese model won for the third consecutive year these two titles, with its sales up 63% YoY and no direct competition, how high will Mitsu's SUV reach in 2016?

Best Selling BEV & Small Car: Renault Zoe, 18.670 units. Finally removing the Nissan Leaf from the BEV leadership, the Zoe saw its sales grow 66% and on top of that, won for the third consecutive time the Best Selling Small Car title;

Rookie Of The Year: Mercedes C350e, 5.069 units. The german model follows on another teutonic car, the VW e-Golf (3.328 units in '14), but had to sweat in the end to keep the VW Passat GTE (4.685) at bay. If the year had 13 months, we might be telling a different story...

Best Selling LCV: Renault Kangoo ZE, 4.328 units. Europe's favorite electric LCV since it appeared in 2011, the french van had a much needed sales push in the second half of the year to win a comfortable lead over the increasingly menacing Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia twins (3.049 units), to have an idea on how close they were, in August the two vans were separated by just 100 units.


PlEuropeDec.2015%'14Pl
1Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV6.47531.340161
2Renault Zoe3.11418.670103
3Volkswagen Golf GTE3.19117.282922
4Tesla Model S3.12416.45594
5Nissan Leaf83915.51582
6BMW i31.71811.82065
7Audi A3 e-Tron1.51411.711619
8Volkswagen e-Golf67711.12469
9
10
11
Volvo V60 Plug-In
Kia Soul EV
Mercedes C350e
1.906
975
1.624
6.952
5.800
5.069
4
3
3
7
23
N/A
12Volkswagen Passat GTE2.3574.6862N/A
13Renault Kangoo ZE7424.32828
14Porsche Cayenne Plug-In3813.350228
15
16
17
18
19
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia
Volkswagen e-Up!
Mercedes B-Class ED
Volvo XC90 T8 PHEV
Renault Twizy
270
182
182
1.633
118
3.049
2.769
2.760
2.653
1.917
2
1
1
1
1
12
6
29
N/A
11
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
BMW i8
Smart Fortwo ED
BMW X5 40e PHEV
Peugeot iOn
Ford C-Max Energi
Bolloré Blue Car
Citröen C-Zero
Mercedes S500e
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Toyota Prius Plug-In
Porsche Panamera Plug-In
115
56
838
 189
538
83
41
108
23
39
46
2.027
2.013
1.649
1.566
1.230
1.166
1.118
807
708
704
606
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
15
10
N/A
21
N/A
13
20
31
17
14
18

TOTAL33.717193.439100


BEV

PHEV


EV's in the Manufacturers sales mix


An interesting stat is to see how much share EV's represent in each manufacturers sales mix, below you will find the Top 3 with highest share, with the exception of Tesla, for obvious reasons:

1. Mitsubishi (24%)

2. Porsche (6%)

3. Volvo and Nissan (3%)

In all other manufacturers, EV's represent less than 3% of their sales mix.

Poland December 2015



Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV likely #1

270 units were sold in 2015, with sales up 85% regarding the previous year, with the EV Share growing to 0.08%, a small but significant increase over the 0.04% share of 2014.

Looking at the models ranking, the Mitsu Outlander PHEV (Most likely) dethroned the now second placed BMW i3 from the Best Seller Status, being the second model from the japanese brand to win the award, after the I-Miev had won it in 2011, with 22 units.

The Nissan Leaf secured the last seat on the podium, with 24 units, repeating the 2014 position, while the Tesla Model S ended the year at #4, with a record 21 units.

Looking at the Manufacturers ranking, Mitsubishi won its second trophy (First was in 2011), with 48% of the market, BMW ended in #2, with 31% share, while in Third we have Nissan, with 12%.

PlPolandDec.     YTD%'14Pl
1
2
3
Mitsu. Outlander PHEV e)
BMW i3
Nissan Leaf
10
8
2
129
67
24
48
25
9
2
1
3
4
5
Tesla Model S
BMW i8
1
1
21
14
8
5
6
5
5
6
7
8
8
8
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia
Renault Twizy
Audi A3 e-Tron
Porsche 918
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
Porsche Panamera Plug-In






7
3
2
1
1
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
N/A
9
7
 N/A
 N/A
 N/A

TOTAL22270100


Source: 
http://carmarket.com.pl;

Friday, January 29, 2016

Iceland December 2015



VW e-Golf #1 (Or is it?)

The Icelandic EV market ended the year with over 400 new EV's on the road, twice as much as it did in 2014, with the EV Share (2,93%) at record levels, the fourth highest in the world.

Looking at the models ranking, there aren't yet definitive numbers from the e-Golf, but it looks that the German EV has surpassed the previous leader Nissan Leaf by...One unit.

If this is the case, it is one more reason to call this market "Little Norway", as besides the high market share of EV's and clean electricity both countries have, it will the only two markets where the e-Golf is the sales leader...

Looking at the remaining models, in Third we have the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, with the Kia Soul EV ending in a brilliant #4.

In the manufacturers ranking, it seems Volkswagen (32%) inherited Nissan's (25%) throne, with the Third Place remaining in the good hands of Mitsubishi (11%).

The BEV / PHEV breakdown, plug-in hybrids have grown significantly their share to 36%, up from 18% in 2014, beating the 2013 record of 26%.

For 2016, the race for Number One will continue between the top two, with the Kia Soul EV possibly getting in the way. As for a forecast for the total sales number, i would go with 600-800 units.

PlIcelandDec.    YTD%'14Pl
1
2
Volkswagen e-Golf e)
Nissan Leaf
4
4
94
93
23
23
N/A
1
3
4
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Kia Soul EV
3
1
47
38
11
9
2
9
5
6
Audi A3 e-Tron
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
1
5
31
30
8
7
N/A
N/A
7
8
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Tesla Model S
6

27
19
7
5
N/A
4
9
10
Volkswagen e-Up!
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia


10
9
2
2
6
3
11Toyota Prius Plug-In2619
12
13
13
13
13
13
Mercedes C350e
BMW i3
Chevrolet Volt
Opel Ampera
Mercedes S500e
Mitsubishi I-Miev
1





2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
N/A
N/A
6
9
N/A
N/A

TOTAL27411100




Source: us.is

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Czech Republic December 2015

Stormtrooper BMW i3 in Prague

BMW i3 Wins #1

The EV Market in Czech Republic has finally awaken, with 419 units sold this year, more than all previous years combined, pulling the EV Share to a respectable 0.18%, making this Year One for plug-ins in this market.

Looking at the models ranking, the BMW i3 ended the year in great share, registering 15 units, a personal best for the small hot hatch, and revalidating last year Best Seller title.

Teslas are a surprise here, reaching the runner-up position, followed by the VW e-Up! and Nissan Leaf.

Good performance by the #5 VW e-Golf, registering 33 units, for once leaving far behind its plug-in hybrid twin, the Golf GTE, which has only registered one unit...

In the brands ranking, BMW (27%) repeated its 2014 title, winning the laurels of believing in this market when everyone had given up up on it (2014). 

Volkswagen ended in Second, with 22% Share, followed by Nissan, with 16%.

An interesting stat that has been repeating in other markets is the fact that the only two regular hybrids that have outsold EV's are the Toyota Auris Hybrid and Yaris Hybrid, the same happens here and it makes you wonder how much would those two models sell if they had a plug...

Looking into 2016, i think numbers will continue to grow fast, maybe reaching 800 units/year, with the BMW i3 continuing to rule supreme, despite VAG efforts to reach it.


PlCzech RepublicDec.YTD%'14Pl
1
2
BMW i3
Tesla Model S e)
15
3
94
61
22
15
1
N/A
3
4
Volkswagen e-Up!
Nissan Leaf

3
58
52
14
12
N/A
 N/A
5Volkswagen e-Golf
338N/A
6
7

8
9
10
11
12
13
13
15
16
16
16
19
19
19
19
Audi A3 e-Tron
BMW i8
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Kia Soul EV
Smart Fortwo ED
Volvo V60 Plug-In
Mercedes S500e e)
Mercedes B-Class ED
Mercedes C350e e)
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
Porsche 918
BMW X5 40e Plug-in
Porsche Panamera Plug-In
Peugeot iOn
Peugeot Partner EV
Volkswagen Golf GTE

1


7

2

1
2


1
1



28
19
16
14
10
8
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
7
5
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
N/A
2
 N/A
 N/A
 N/A
 N/A
 N/A
 N/A
 N/A
N/A
 N/A
 N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
TOTAL35419100

Source: sda-cia.cz


Estonia December 2015



Leaf Repeats Title in Crumbling Market

Only 55 electric cars were sold in 2015, down from 350 in 2014, placing the EV Share at a disappointing 0.27%.

This EV market has an uncharacteristic Boom-Bust behavior, possible to see in the EV Share over the years:

2011 - 0.3%
2012 - 2.4%
2013 - 0.7%
2014 - 1.7%
2015 - 0.3%


In the midst of this abnormality (Incentives related?), the Nissan Leaf won for the third consecutive time the Best Seller award, despite selling only 12 units, its worst performance ever.

Second was the Tesla Model S, up one position regarding last year, despite delivering only a third of the vehicles (10 now vs 30 in '14). 


The Volkswagen e-Golf replaced the e-Up! relative in the Podium, ending the year in Third, with only five units.

In a shrinking market, one major trend was the rise of plug-in hybrids from insignificance to 25% share, representing almost half of the models available.

PlEstoniaDec.     YTD%'14Pl
1Nissan Leaf
12221
2Tesla Model S110183
3
4
5
5
5
5
9
9
9
12
12
12
12
12
12
Volkswagen e-Golf
BMW i3 *
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia
BMW i8
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Kia Soul EV
Renault Zoe
Volkswagen e-Up!
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Audi A3 e-Tron
Mercedes C350e
Opel Ampera
BMW X5 40e PHEV
Renault Kangoo ZE
1
1
1

1
1









5
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
9
7
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
N/A
6
5
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
6
2
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

TOTAL655100


Source: mnt.ee

* - 2 Bev + 2 Rex