Tesla Model 3 breaks records in hot market
The European passenger plug-in market registered
some 59,000 registrations in September (+76%), with BEVs stepping up the pace (+109%),
and reaching a record score of 41,001 units, earning its first three digit
growth rate since July 2014...
This time PHEVs were back in black, growing 28%, its
first growth month since last September, when the new WLTP emission rules
started, so it all seems aligned for a strong last quarter of the year.
With all-electrics going into warp speed, they were
responsible for 69% of all plugin sales last month (67% YTD), the BEV share grew
to a record 3.2%, while adding PHEVs to the tally, the share climbs to 4.6%,
pulling the 2019 PEV share to 3.0% (2.0% for BEVs alone), above the 2.5% result
If we add unplugged hybrids to the tally, we get a 10%
share in the overall market, the first time electrified vehicles reach two
digits in Europe, while Diesel continues its never ending slide, now at 29%
(33% last year), so we could see new registrations of this fuel going extinct
in Europe by 2026...
The big news in September was the Tesla Model 3 scoring
a new all time record (17,490 units), beating its own March record (15,768
units), but this could not be the end of it, as December could see yet another
record score from the Tesla midsizer.
Interestingly, this is the first 100% BEV Top 5 in years. Will it become the norm next year?
Looking at the Monthly Models Ranking:
Model 3– The poster child for electro mobility had its best month so far in Europe,
with 17,490 deliveries, with the Model 3 scoring 5(!)
four-digit results (5,768 units in the Netherlands, 2,934 in the UK, 2,342 in
Norway, 1,516 in Germany and 1,061 in France) in the same month. With the
deployment of back-log units in the UK, and a big sales peak expected in the
Netherlands, December could see another record month. By the look of it, we
should only know the organic demand of the Model 3 in Europe
by next year.
Zoe– The 3,555 deliveries of September allowed it
to continue growing (+28%), regarding last year, an amazing feat for a model
that is supposed to be changing its skin, busy deploying the first units of the
much improved “new” Zoe. As for individual market performances, the French hatchback
continues as popular as ever in its domestic market (1,568 units), and in
Germany (634 units), this time with the UK making an important contribution to
the tally (235), of the successful Renault.
#3 Nissan Leaf – With the 62 kWh version now being delivered in
volume, the Japanese model hit 3,208
units last month, its best result since March, marking the return of the Leaf
to the podium, and…That’s it for good news. Because despite the larger battery version
help, registrations were still down 22% YoY. Will the Nissan BEV be able to
leave this downward spiral? I have some doubts, as the 62kWh version price
premium (+/- 7,000 eur) is too steep to make it relevant in the long term, so
in the long run, either Nissan cuts prices significantly, or the Leaf starts to
become irrelevant, especially when a certain VW ID.3 lands…But back at September
performances, the Japanese main markets were the UK (812 units), Norway (585), Germany
(308) and France (299).
i3– The German hatchback was up 30% in September, to 3,110 units, its best result in 6 months, with the
BMW pocket rocket benefitting from its unique formula (it is the only Premium City EV in town) to continue expanding
its sales, following the EV bubble growth. Looking at individual countries,
Germany (865 units), continues to be its larger market, with the following being
the UK (658) and Norway (398), at a sizeable distance. A warning sign?
e-Golf– The evergreen German model hit 2,560 units last month, growing 196%(!) YoY, and
hitting a new Year Best result, an awesome result for a model that was supposed
to be in sunset-mode…Only, it seems VW is
going all in into plugins, and is actively promoting what they have right now,
even if it is an oldtimer. Add the
name Golf, and what it implies, and that is generating enough appeal to keep
demand up, even with newer and more competitive models on the market. Back at September
performances, the Volkswagen EV main markets were the UK(!), with 820 units, Norway
(645), and Germany (419).
|New BMW 330e: a quick fix to try to stop the 3-Series sales bleeding|
Looking at the 2019 ranking, if Tesla can already
order the 2019 Best Seller party for the Model 3 and Renault can think about
finding a place for the silver medal of the Zoe, the 3rd place could still be
up for discussion, as the #4 BMW i3 and the #5 Nissan Leaf are shortening the
distances to the #3 Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV, but with 3 months to go about
2,000 units to recover, the two models will have a hard task ahead.
Below the front runners, the #7 Hyundai
Kona EV scored its best result since January, with 1,988 registrations (is
Hyundai getting more batteries?), while we have a new face in the Top 10, with
the BMW 225xe A. Tourer jumping to #10, thanks to 1,566 units, its best result
But it wasn’t the only BMW scoring a
record result, as the new 330e landed with a bang, with 1,659 registrations, in
what is already a new record for the nameplate, allowing it to be #8 in
After seeing their customer base defect to
the Model 3, the alarms must have sounded at the BMW HQ and the maker is
betting everything on the success of its midsize PHEV, at least until the real Model 3 fighter, the i4, isn’t ready.
Another maker stepping up production is
Volvo, with its XC60 PHEV scoring its best result since January (1,516 units),
allowing it to climb 2 positions, to #12, while its larger sibling, the XC90
PHEV, also hit its best result in 8 months, with 781 units, allowing it to
reach #22, and the S/V60 PHEV twins registered 807 units, with the midsize
models looking to get nearer to the Top 20.
On the second half of the table, the Smart
Fortwo EV climbed to #16, thanks to 996 units, its best result in 20 months, and
we have a new face in the Top 20, with the Tesla Model X returning to the table
in #19, thanks to 1,131 deliveries, its best result in 2019, thus placing all
Tesla lineup on the Top 20.
Outside the Top 20, September brought a
second coming of several plugin hybrids, besides the aforementioned good
performances of the BMW and Volvo models, the Audi Q5 PHEV has landed with 421
units, while the revised VW Passat GTE scored 419 units, the nameplate best
result since the beggining of the new WLTP rules.
Expect some of these models to become
regular presences in the Top 20 next year, with both the BMW 330e and the VW
Passat GTE running for Top 10 spots.
In the manufacturers ranking, Tesla (22%,
up 1%) is the leader, while last year winner BMW (14%) remains in the runner-up
spot, ahead of Renault (9%, down 1%), that needs more models (Twingo EV, Captur
PHEV, Megane PHEV, Scenic PHEV…) in its lineup to expand and keep its podium
seat from the makers behind it, namely Mitsubishi and Hyundai, both with 7%