Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Germany April 2020

Revisão do VW e-Golf (2020) - Consórcios e Cia

8.5% share!

Despite the Covid-related lockdown, that sent the overall market down 61% YoY, the German plugin market grew 33%(!) last month, having registered 10,253 units, thanks to PHEVs, that jumped an amazing 87% (BEVs were down 3%), with April's plugin share reaching 8.5% (3.8% BEV), pulling the yearly tally to 7.6% (3.7% BEV). 

And to think in the end of 2019, i was forecasting 6% share for 2020...Although, much of this is due to plugin hybrids, that are growing 5 times faster than pure EVs.

April saw the VW e-Golf returning to the top spot, with the German brand milking its e-Golf hatchback to the last drop, thanks to generous discounts, so it seems the veteran model is set to end its career on a high note.

We have a surprise in #4, with the Audi A3 PHEV scoring 411 units, beating the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV by 6 units and becoming last month Best Selling PHEV.

With the two Volkswagen Group oldtimers winning both powertrain Best Seller trophies, it kinda reminds the Space Cowboys movie, where a bunch of veterans go from underdogs to heroes of the day.

VW e-Golf
Renault Zoe
Tesla Model 3
Audi A3 PHEV
Mit. Outlander PHEV 

Regarding the 2020 table, nothing new among the front runners, with the podium bearers consolidanting their positions, with the same thing happening in the PHEV category, with the #4 Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV extending its lead over the #5 VW Passat GTE, to 137 units.

In the Luxury category, the #6 Mercedes E300e/de twins recovered the lead, having surpassed the Audi e-Tron, while its stablemate A3 PHEV joined the Top 10, at the cost of the BMW i3, that is far from its best days, when it ran for #1.

On the second half of the table, a mention to the Hyundai Kona EV, climbing to #14, while the Volvo S/V60 PHEV twins joined the table, in #17, a surprising performance from the Swedes, and one wonders if in the future they will be able to tickle the local heroes, the #12 BMW 330e and #9 Mercedes C300e/de...

Outside the Top 20, the BMW X3 PHEV (362 units) and X5 PHEV (291) continue to impress, and should climb into the Top 20 soon, while the Mini Cooper EV confirms its success across the continente, by registering 263 units last month in Germany.

In the brands ranking, Volkswagen (16%, down 1%) leads the way, with BMW (10%) surpassing Audi (9%, down 1%) and becoming the new runner-up, while the #4 Mercedes (8%, down 1%) and #5 Renault (8%) are running from behind, trying to reach the medal positions.


  1. @José how did you arrive at PHEVs growing five times faster than BEVs? A rough extrapolation from the numbers you posted suggests BEV share grew by some 2.5% in April 2020 over April 2019, while PHEVs grew some 4%...

  2. hi jose, do you have the April MTD and YTD sales figures for EQC?

    1. EQC - 23 units in April, 300 in 2020.

  3. AnonymousMay 20, 2020

    From the posted data, carmaker standings are:

    1st Volkswagen Group with 17162 vehicles
    2nd Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance with 7398 vehicles
    3rd Daimler with 5248 vehicles
    4th BMW Group with 4447 vehicles
    5th Tesla with 3420 vehicles

  4. Congrats and thanks Germans for standing by PEVs despite Pandemic.
    Another 4 weeks for the launch of VW ID.3. Hope all goes well.
    Despite the petrol/diesel plugins, BEVs managed to take the Top-3.
    Recovery is on the way and we can see higher sales in coming months.

    1. Note that AIUI that June date is only for start of taking actual orders (configuration) -- AFAIK there is still no word on when deliveries start... Though hopefully not too long after that.

  5. Toyota revealed next generation MY-2021 Sienna (minivan) & Venza (crossover) and both will have only full hybrid (FHV) with 2,5 liter 4 cylinder engines. No more V6 gasser.
    Sienna gets 50% more mileage (13 km/l) than outgoing version with V6 engine.
    Venza gets 70% more mileage (16 km/l) than previous MY-2015 version with V6 engine.

    FHVs use only 1,5 KWh battery.
    They made a strong statement that instead of using 40 - 90 KWh battery in a single BEV, its better to distribute that battery in 30 - 60 FHVs and get 50 - 70% more mileage. Perhaps they can migrate even other vehicle with hybrid options to dedicated hybrids. Other models are RAV-4, Highlander, Corolla, Camry, Avalon and from Lexus: NX, RX, ES, LS, LC. Prius is already a dedicated hybrid.

    Of course Toyota did not mention about plugin version. If they can apply it in RAV-4, then they can migrate the same to Venza & Sienna as well. So Toyota may go all in on hybrids followed by plugins to compete with the BEVs. It all gets interesting.

    1. Toyota is now milking everything it can from its HEV technology, introducing it in developing countries, and making models HEV-only in more mature markets, which is good, an efficient is better than a pure ICE.

      Sure, a PHEV is even better, and better still is a BEV.

      But for many people wary of "that EV-thing", it will be a nice introduction to the technology, and the latest Toyota results in Europe are showing it, with most of its sales now coming from HEVs, the brand is climbing positions in the European ranking, placing their Hybrids as an alternative to regular diesel vehicles.

    2. Yes Jose, BEV is much better and I am driving Nissan Leaf MY-2013 with 84 mile / 135 km range and that easy covers my daily 65 km trip and occasional 100 km trip to airport/bus station for drop/pickups. It has 115 MPGe / 54 km/l equivalent that no hybrid or gasser or diesel can match.

      There are 1,4 billion vehicles worldwide and 90 million are sold every year. Even if a part of them like 10 - 20 % goes hybrid (both petrol & diesel), we can cut oil consumption by few %age points and reduce pollution drastically. Toxic emissions weakens our lungs and coronavirus hits there. Post corona world will certainly buy more electrified vehicles.

      Still Toyota is better than almost all legacy automakers by selling more than 1 million HEVs every year.

    3. That battery size argument is just one of the many bullshit arguments Toyota uses to discredit BEVs, because they missed the train and now all BEV sales go to competitors.

      *If* the whole world decided to go for some form of electrification overnight, and we had to decide how to best use the limited supply of batteries, then maybe that argument would have some merit... But that's not really the case. The current BEV battery shortage is simply a result of auto makers not being committed until recently to order a sufficient amount of batteries.

      Furthermore, BEV and HEV batteries are not really exchangeable -- so it's not like there is an actual trade-off between building more BEVs or more HEVs.

      And last but not least, even if the battery shortage means BEV transition may take a few years more, HEVs produced today will be around a lot longer -- so the fact that they can provide some savings faster, doesn't necessarily mean it's better in the long run... Instead, most people can just delay new car purchases by a few years, until there are enough BEVs for everyone. Keeping an older car for a few more years, and then switching to a BEV, is better than getting a HEV today, that will keep polluting for 15 - 20 years.

  6. @antrik @jose

    90 million road vehicles were sold last year. Out of that 2.5 million are PEVs (including heavy vehicles) and another 3 - 3.5 million are HEVs (both full & mild). That leaves another 84 million gasser/diesel.

    All those 84 million are neither going to wait for PEVs nor that many PEVs can be made just like this.
    So a part of them going to HEV instead of buying ICE is much better.

    1. Sure, if the decision is only between buying a pure combustion vehicle or a hybrid, the latter is *obviously* preferable. My point is that it doesn't validate Toyota's bullshit argument that we should focus on (plug-less) hybrids instead of EVs...