Saturday, July 4, 2020

Sweden June 2020

Resultado de imagem para Volvo XC40 PHEV
The next Volvo Best Seller?

Volvo Fest in 26% PEV Share market

We start the month in Sweden, the local plug-in market is recovering its mojo, up 86% YoY, to 6.391 registrations, with June scoring a 26% share for plugins, in line with the 2020 PEV share, of 26%. Currently BEVs only represent 28% of plugin sales, with BEVs with 7% share of the total market (up 2% regarding the same period last year), and PHEVs at 19%, jumping a stark 12% in share regarding last year, as 12 months ago, they only had 7%...

Looking at the remaining fuels, HEVs increase from 7% to to 8%, regarding last year, while petrol loses 5% of the market, now at 39%, while diesel does even worse, dropping 10% in share, to just 26%. 

Looking at last month Best Sellers, it's a Volvo Fest, with a 1-2 victory and 4 models in the Top 8, with the XC60 PHEV winning last month trophy, thanks to a record performance of 807 registrations, followed by the S/V60 twins, with 752 units, while the larger twins, the S/V90 PHEV, ended in #6, thanks to 297 deliveries, with the recent XC40 PHEV reaching a record 277 units, allowing it to reach #8 in June's ranking.

Elsewhere, the VW Passat GTE was #3, with 476 units, followed by the Tesla Model 3, that due to production constraints, this time had a small end-of-quarter high tide, with just 312 units, almost being caught by the #5 Renault Zoe, that had a surprising 299 units result in June.

Volvo XC60 PHEV 
Volvo S/V60 PHEV
VW Passat GTE
Tesla Model 3
Renault Zoe

On the 2020 ranking, there is not much to talk about regarding the podium positions, but below them, there is a lot going on, starting with the Volvo XC60 PHEV jumping two positions, to #5, becoming the new Best Selling SUV in the table, while both the Volvo S/V90 PHEV twins and the Renault Zoe also went up two positions, to #8 and #9 respectively, with the flagship Volvos becoming the new leaders in the full size category, after surpassing the Audi e-Tron.

And the good news didn't stopped here for the Swedes, with the Climber of the Month being the Volvo XC40 PHEV, shooting 8 positions, to #12, while the XC90 PHEV rejoined the table, in #19, thanks to 142 registrations, thus making 5 Volvos in the Top 20.

Oh, and let's not forget that the first units of the Polestar 2 and its platform twin Volvo XC40 EV were registered this month, so one can say that the Swedish maker is on a roll... 

But the ranking changes didn't ended there, the Skoda Superb PHEV was up one position, to #13, proving once a again the local love for station wagons, highlighted by the two positions jump of the Kia Ceed PHEV, to #14, thanks to a record 177 registrations, while the Hyundai Kona EV climbed to #18, helped by the ramp up in the Hyundai Czech factory.

Outside the Top 20, we should mention the good start of the Ford Kuga PHEV, with 102 units, yet another record performance (Has Ford struck gold with its new plugin compact SUV?), while the Porsche Cayenne PHEV also scored a record result, with 83 units.  

In the manufacturers ranking, Volvo is in the lead, with 23% share, up 3%, while Kia (18%, down 1%), keeps the 2nd place, while Volkswagen (12%, down 1%) closes the podium, ahead of Tesla (7%, up 1%).

Midsize Cars

Volvo S/V60
VW Passat
Kia Optima
Tesla Model 3
BMW 3-Series

Nothing new on the ranking, with the Best Sellers holding their positions and keeping the Tesla Model 3 in #4. 

Looking at the remaining models, all have PHEV versions with variable share of the nameplate sales, from 100% in the Kia Optima, to 37% of the Volvo twins, the 30% of the BMW 3-Series (the SW body of the 330e PHEV is badly needed to jump start sales again), passing by the 59% of the VW Passat, so all in all, electrification is on the right track in this category.

Midsize SUVs

Volvo XC60
Mitsubishi Outlander
Mercedes GLC
Audi Q5

We now have a fully electrified Top 5 in this category, now that the local Mercedes importer is selling the GLC300e in volumes, being now responsible for 19% of all GLC registrations.

This highlights the fast electrification rate that is also going on, with the Outlander (96% PHEV sales) being basically a plugin model, while the BMW X3 (58%) and Volvo XC60 (39%) are increasing fast their PHEV take rate, with the same being said about the Audi Q5 (29%).

Considering all this, it won't be surprising that soon all models on this Top 5 will have over 50% of units plugin capable.

Full size cars

Volvo S/V90
BMW 5-Series
Audi A6
Mercedes E-Class
Tesla Model S

While the flagship Volvos (24% coming from the PHEV version) rule the category with an iron fist, below them, the BMW 5-Series jumped to the runner-up spot, but lost 7% in the PHEV take rate, now at 27%.

Elsewhere, the Audi is starting to deliver the first units of the A6 PHEV, so expect a fully electrified Top 5 soon.

Finally, the  #4 Mercedes E-Class keeps its 29% PHEV take rate, so this category is having a harder time to be electrified than others.

Full size SUVs

Audi e-Tron
Volvo XC90
Mercedes GLE
Porsche Cayenne

One of the categories with best results regarding electrification, here the all-electric Audi e-Tron is the ruler of the category, ahead of the Volvo XC90, that has 57% of its sales coming from the PHEV version, which is midway between the BMW X5 (73% PHEV) and the Porsche Cayenne (88%), with this last one increasing dramatically its electrification rate in the last few months, highlighting Porsche's recent love for plugins.

Interestingly, the Mercedes GLE climbed to #3, but it wasn't thanks to its PHEV version, as the GLE350de for now only represents 2% of the model total sales.

(Still not enough batteries, Mercedes?!?)


  1. hi jose, how many polestar 2's and xc40 recharges were delivered?
    thought polestar would not deliver till september

    1. Single-digits. They are most likely demonstration units, volume deliveries should come later.

    2. AnonymousJuly 06, 2020

      Mercedes is diverting ALL their batteries to Norway!

      written by Looney Tunes

  2. How do manufacturers product development convert into registrations on the swedish market? During the first half of 2020 (jan –jun) several new BEVs began to be delivered to swedish customers. Also, some existing BEVs were updated, a few with extended range. The list below highlights how new and updated BEVs performed on the swedish market during the first half of this year. The ranking is of course dependent on the date for first deliveries, but the list nevertheless gives an overview of new and updated BEVs during the period and their performance so far half way in the year. The numbers within parenthesis reflects the ranking in the general list of chargeable cars (PHEVs included), followed by the number of registrations Jan - Jun.

    1. Renault Zoe • updated + extended range (9), 1137
    2. Audi e-tron • extended range 55 + new 50 + new Sportback (10), 1035
    3. Kia e-Niro • updated (11), 979
    4. Hyundai Kona • extended range (18), 564
    5. Volkswagen e-up! • updated + extended range (32), 283
    6. Mini Cooper SE • electrified version (45), 110
    7. Porsche Taycan 4S/Turbo/Turbo S • new electric car (46), 110
    8. Skoda Citigo-e IV • electrified version (48), 100
    9. Seat Mii Electric • electrified version (55), 63
    10. Honda e • new electric car (63), 27
    11. DS3 Crossback E-tense • electric version (74), 8
    12. Smart ED • updated (80), 5

    Electrified version = New electric version of an existing fossil car

    Electric version = New BEV which is also introduced in fossil version(s)

    New electric car = New model which is only available as BEV

    1. Kona has extended range? Does that mean the 62 kWh variant wasn't previously available in this market?...

    2. Hyundai changed the tires on the Kona, and also made some other adjustments to the chassis which extended the range with approximately 3 swedish miles for the 64 kWh-version, and 1,5 miles for the 39 kWh-version.

    3. Interesting -- haven't heard of that...

      Doesn't really sound enough to consider it a new entrant, though :-)

  3. Below a list of new BEVs, that are prognosticated to reach swedish customers during the second half of this year, including an outlook into next year. The information below is compiled from Swedish and international automotive magazines as well as from maufacturers websites.

    New BEVs q3 and q4 2020 (deliveries)

    Aiways U5
    Audi e-tron S Sportback
    BMW iX3 (q4?)
    Fiat 500e (q4?)
    Ford Mustang Mach-E Standard Range RWD (Oct?)
    Ford Mustang Mach-E Standard Range AWD (Oct?)
    Ford Mustang Mach-E Extended Range RWD (Oct?)
    Ford Mustang Mach-E Extended Range AWD (Oct?)
    Mazda MX-30 (q3?)
    Mercedes EQV kort version
    Mercedes EQV lång version
    MG ZS EV
    Opel Corsa-e
    Peugeot e-208 (Jul)
    Peugeot e-2008
    Polestar 2 ”long range” (Sep?)
    Porsche Taycan 79 kWh
    Porsche Taycan 93 kWh
    Porsche Taycan 79 kWh Sport Turismo
    Porsche Taycan 93 kWh Sport Turismo
    Porsche Taycan 4S Performance Battery Sport Turismo
    Porsche Taycan 4S Performance Battery Plus Sport Turismo
    Porsche Taycan Turbo Sport Turismo
    Porsche Taycan Turbo S Sport Turismo
    Porsche Taycan 4S Performance Battery Cross Turismo
    Porsche Taycan 4S Performance Battery Plus Cross Turismo
    Porsche Taycan Turbo Cross Turismo
    Porsche Taycan Turbo S Cross Turismo
    Tesla Model S Long Range ”Plaid”
    Volkswagen ID.3 1st 58 kWh (Sep)
    Volkswagen ID.3 58 kWh
    Volkswagen ABT e-Caddy Maxi
    Volvo XC40 Recharge P8 (Dec?)

    New BEVs 2021 (deliveries)

    Audi Q4 e-tron
    Audi e-tron GT
    BMW i4
    BMW iX5
    Byton M-Byte 72 kWh RWD (q3?)
    Byton M-Byte 95 kWh RWD (q3?)
    Byton M-Byte 95 kWh AWD (q3?)
    Citroen e-C4
    Cupra Tavascan
    Dacia Spring
    e.GO Life (?)
    Ford Mustang Mach-E GT Performance
    Hyundai 45
    Lexus UX 300e (Jan)
    Lucid Air (q4?)
    Mercedes EQA
    Mercedes EQS
    Microlino (?)
    Nissan Ariya
    Opel Mokka-e (q1?)
    Opel Astra-e
    Opel Combo-e Life
    Opel Zafira-e Life
    Polestar 2 ”standard range”
    Renault Twingo Z.E.
    Renault large suv
    Rivian R1T (?)
    Seat El-Born
    Skoda Enyaq 60 (q1)
    Skoda Enyaq 80 (q1)
    Skoda Enyaq 80X (q1)
    Skoda Enyaq RS (q1)
    Skoda Enyaq coupé 60
    Skoda Enyaq coupé 80
    Skoda Enyaq coupe 80X
    Skoda Enyaq coupé RS
    Ssang Young Korando E100
    Tesla Model Y Long Range RWD
    Tesla Model Y Long Range AWD
    Tesla Model Y Long Range Performance
    Uniti One (?)
    Volkswagen ID.3 45 kWh
    Volkswagen ID.3 77 kWh
    Volkswagen ID.4 RWD
    Volkswagen ID.4 AWD
    Volkswagen ID.5
    Volvo XC40 Recharge P6

    1. Thanks for the detailed list, some of them i wasn't aware, although i doubt the Ford Mustang Mach-E will land in Europe this year.

    2. Give the recent news: you still think it's plausible the M-Byte will come to Europe next year? I think the question now is, will it ever make it to market at all?...

    3. Where did you read about an Astra-e? I can't find anything...

    4. ID.5 in 2021 sounds like a false rumour IMHO, considering that VW never talked about the Vizzion concept coming to market before 2022...

    5. @josé
      What´s the reason you do not think the Mach-E will reach Europe during 2020?

      ID.5 refers to the ID.4 coupé.

      Seems there is no reason to believe that PSA would not introduce electric versions of all their cars even in the C-segment, just as they already are doing now with cars in the B-segment (Peugeot e-208, Opel Corsa-e, DS3). The first of them is already revealed, the Citroën e-C4. The new generation Opel Astra could share the same elactric platform, so it seems logical that there will also be an Astra-e. Maybe not already during 2021 though. Sorry, I can´t remember the source of information now.

      Regarding M_Byte: Agree. It´s uncertain. I did not remove it since there is still a chance that the company will survive with new owners. Let´s see what happens.

      Also, there is one new BEV missing in the list: The Sono Sion that is planned to go into production in the previous Saab-factory here in Sweden in September 2021.

    6. I had read that Ford was going to prioritize the US market in late 2020, in order to bank on the usual end-of-year sales rush.

      Besides, with the Ford Kuga PHEV selling like hot cakes in Europe, the urgency to launch the Mustang Mach-E in 2020 in order to comply with the CO2 rules isn't as big as initially expected.

  4. While totally overshadowed by the stellar PHEV result, BEVs also have seen a ~40% relative growth in market share YoY, which is in line with the global long-term trend -- so not all that bad. (Especially considering the recent Tesla shortage...)

  5. AnonymousJuly 05, 2020

    During the second quarter, Volvo Car cemented the market leadership although Kia-Hyundai managed to return to the second spot and is well positioned to discuss the leadership for the remainder of the year. Meanwhile, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance keeps sliding in this market.

    From the posted data, Q22020 standings are:

    1st Volvo Car with 7538 vehicles
    2nd Kia-Hyundai with 6090 vehicles
    3rd Volkswagen Group with 4931 vehicles
    4th Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance with 3435 vehicles
    5th Tesla with 1706 vehicles

  6. During the first half of 2020 (jan –jun) several new PHEVs began to be delivered to swedish customers. A few were also updated. The list below highlights how new and updated PHEVs performed on the swedish market during the first half of this year. The ranking is of course dependent on the date for first deliveries, but the list nevertheless gives an overview of new and updated PHEVs during the period and their performance so far. The numbers within parenthesis reflects the ranking in the general list of chargeable cars (BEVs included), followed by the number of registrations Jan - Jun.

    1. Skoda Superb iV (12), 733
    2. Volvo XC40 Recharge T5 • updated (13), 691
    3. Kia Ceed SW Plug-In Hybrid (14), 660
    4. BMW X3 xDrive30e (17), 574
    5. Peugeot 3008 Hybrid4 (25), 349
    6. Ford Kuga Plug-In Hybrid (28), 331
    7. Mercedes GLC 300e (36), 208
    8. Porsche Cayenne Turbo S E-Hybrid (38), 153
    9. Peugeot 508 PHEV (42), 133
    10. Mercedes A/CLA 250e (47), 107
    11. BMW X1 xDrive25e (49), 93
    12. Opel Grandland X Hybrid4 (51), 77
    13. Kia XCeed Plug-In Hybrid (53), 76
    14. Audi A7 55 TFSI e quattro (56), 58
    15. DS 7 Crossback E-tense 4x4 (59), 37

  7. Below a list of new and updated PHEVs, that are forecasted to reach swedish customers during the second half of this year, including an outlook into next year. Looks like 2020 will be THE PHEV-tsunami year while 2021 seems more calm so far, even if certainly some of the cars on the 2020-list will be delayed until 2021.

    2020 (deliveries)

    Audi A3 e quattro • new generation
    Audi Q3 e quattro
    Audi A6 55 TFSI e quattro (Jul?)
    Audi A6 Avant 55 TFSI e quattro (Jul?)
    Audi Q5 55 TFSI e quattro • updated
    Audi Q7 60 TFSI e quattro
    BMW X2 xDrive25e
    BMW 330e xDrive (Aug)
    BMW 330e Touring (Aug)
    BMW 330e Touring xDrive (Aug)
    BMW 530e • updated
    BMW 530e xDrive • updated
    BMW 530e Touring (q4?)
    BMW 530e Touring xDrive (q4?)
    BMW 545e (q4?)
    Citroen C5 Aircross Hybrid
    Cupra Leon (q4?)
    Cupra Leon Sportstourer (q4?)
    DS 7 Crossback E-tense (2WD)
    Ford Explorer Plug-In Hybrid (Aug?)
    Ford Tourneo Custom Plug-In Hybrid
    Huyndai Santa Fe Plug-In Hybrid
    Jaguar E-Pace Plug-In Hybrid
    Jaguar F-Pace Plug-In Hybrid
    Jeep Renegade Trailhawk PHEV
    Jeep Compass 4xe 190 hk (q3?)
    Jeep Compass 4xe 240 hk (q3?)
    Kia Sorrento Plug-in Hybrid (Dec?)
    Kia Optima Plug-In Hybrid • new generation (?)
    Land Rover Discovery Sport P300e
    Land Rover Defender P300e
    Lynk & Co. 01 PHEV
    Mercedes B 250e
    Mercedes GLA 250e
    Mercedes GLC 300de
    Mercedes GLC Coupé 300de
    Mercedes E 300 e • updated
    Mercedes E 300 de • updated
    Mercedes E 300 de station wagon • updated
    Mercedes GLE 350de (Jul)
    Mini Countryman Cooper SE ALL4 • updated (Aug)
    Peugeot 3008 Hybrid2
    Range Rover Evoque P300e
    Range Rover Velar P300e
    Renault Captur E-Tech
    Renault Megane E-Tech (q4?)
    Renault Megane Sport Tourer E-Tech (q4?)
    Seat Leon eHybrid
    Seat Leon ST eHybrid
    Seat Tarraco eHybrid
    Skoda Scala iV
    Skoda Octavia iV (q3?)
    Skoda Octavia iV Combi (q3?)
    Skoda Octavia RS iV
    Skoda Octavia RS iV Combi
    Toyota RAV4 Plug-in Hybrid (q4?)
    Volkswagen Golf eHybrid
    Volkswagen Golf GTE • new generation
    Volkswagen Tiguan eHybrid (Dec?)
    Volkswagen Arteon Gran Turismo eHybrid
    Volkswagen Arteon Shooting Brake eHybrid
    Volvo XC40 Recharge T4 (Jul)
    Volvo S60 Recharge T6
    Volvo V60 Cross Country Recharge T6
    Volvo V60 Cross Country Recharge T8
    Volvo XC60 Recharge T6 (Jul)
    Volvo S90 Recharge T6
    Volvo V90 Recharge T6 (Jul)

    2021 (deliveries)

    Alfa Romeo Tonale Plug-In Hybrid
    Cupra Formentor
    DS9 225 hk
    DS9 250 hk
    DS9 360 hk AWD
    Huyndai Tucson Plug-In Hybrid
    Mitsubishi • new small suv
    Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV • new generation
    Nissan Qashqai Plug-In Hybrid
    Peugeot 308 PHEV
    Suzuki Across (?)
    Volkswagen Touareg R

    1. Thanks for the list, a few highlights:

      - Audi needs to ramp up their PHEVs fast, as BMW and now Mercedes are expanding their PHEV sales across the lineup;

      - Same for Jaguar;

      - Skoda Octavia, Toyota RAV4 (if Toyota decides to make ii in large volumes) and VW Golf could be huge;

      - Volvo is now pushing hard their PHEVs, with the most surprising being the XC40, that recently had a big jump in sales.

    2. @José

      Yes, Audi was late in joining the PHEV-race, but is now accelerating. I would not be surprised if the Audi A6/A6 Avant 55 TFSI e quattro will beat both the 530e/530e Touring and the Mercedes E 300e/de during 2021. To surpass the Volvo S90/V90 T6/T8 will be much tougher though...

      Agree about the Octavia and RAV4. Toyota RAV4, with its long range, will steal a lot of customers from the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV next year. Maybe most of them?

      I will not be surprised if VW Tiguan eHybrid will have a higher position in the ranking than VW Golf eHybrid/GTE when we summarize PHEV sales for 2021. This is a very important model for VW on the Swedish market, and also on many other markets in Europe.

      Yes, Volvo pushes strong now for its PHEVs. The company pays the cost for charging for one year for everyone that buys a Volvo PHEV until September 30. The more price friendly XC40 T4, XC60 T6 and V90 T6 which will now start to be delivered will certainly contribute to the sales increase for the Volvo PHEVs. The goal for Volvo 2020 is that 20% of it´s global sales should be PHEVs.

      A mention for the BMW 330e/330e xDrive Touring which could achieve a high ranking in the list together with it´s 330e sport sedan sibling.

      Kia could suffer on the Swedish market if not the new generation Optima will be available in Europe.

      And yes, let´s see if the Jaguar suvs will make it this year, or if the first cars will be deliveried in 2021.

    3. Why would the Tiguan be more important than the Golf? Of all markets I'm aware of, this one seems to have the least appetite for crossovers...

    4. Volvo offering free charging for PHEVs is interesting. I guess this might help get some people who only buy because of incentives into the habit of actually charging regularly...

    5. Medium sized suvs, as the Tiguan, are getting more popular even in Sweden. Suvs also tend to register a larger share PHEV-versions than other types of cars. And the ID.3 will definitely steel many customers from Golf as the share of BEVs are forecasted to increase significantly in 2021. At the same time Golf has always had a strong position in Sweden. We´ll see what happens...

    6. Tiguan is compact... And it will also have an in-house BEV competitor. (ID.4)

    7. @antrik

      When do you think VW have ramped up it´s production so that the ID.4 can be delivered in volume to swedish customers?

    8. I don't really know... But going by the original timeline, and the fact that reportedly they have now converted the second half of the Zwickau factory, I'd be very disappointed if it's not available in volume by Q1 2021, or Q2 at the latest.

    9. @antrik

      We are talking about registrations in the calender year 2021. As long as the ID.4 is not being delivered in volume to swedish customers there will not be much of in-house BEV competition for the Tiguan eHybrid.

      You might be right about that the ID.4 will begin to be delivered in volume already in Q1 or Q2 2021. I have no insight into production plans at Volkswagen. But considering that the ID.4 is not yet officially revealed and that Volkswagen have to ramp up it´s production of ID.3 in three different battery sizes during Q4 2020, Q1 2021 and maybe also Q2 2021, my forecast is that the ID.4 will begin to be delivered in volume to swedish customers in Q4 2021 or maybe already in the end of Q3.

      Anyway, it will be interesting to follow the pace of new ID-car launches at Volkswagen.

    10. The ID.4 was originally meant to start deliveries in 2020. A full year delay is very unlikely, considering that this would be even more than the ~1/2 year ID.3 delay.

  8. The saddest top20 in all of Europe.6 EV.optima-n3!!!

  9. passat-n2!some kind of surrealism

  10. I don't understand is this a bad dream or reality?

    1. Sweden loves wagons -- and there are still no BEV wagons in Europe...

    2. I think for all car manufacturers to produce wagons this is a headache.They will gradually abandon them and we will not see any mass BEV models.sadness for Swedes

    3. @Vlad

      There will certainly be some BEV-wagons in about 2-3 years time. Volvo will launch it´s new generation V90 in 2023 and there will be a BEV version of the big Volvo wagon, just like it will for each new Volvo model from now on. In 2025/2026 there will also be a Volvo V60 BEV. Furthermore Volkswagen is now working on their ID. Space Vizzion which is scheduled for launch in 2022.

      Swedish customers will have to have some patience, also wagon BEVs are coming...

    4. @Bo Westermark
      In 3 years the world will have time to get up from head to feet and back

  11. @Bo Westermark