Tuesday, December 6, 2016

Norway November 2016


Image result for 2016 bmw i3 in norway

 BMW i3 goes ballistic

There were 4.358 new plug-ins sold in Norway last month, up 40% YoY, the November passenger car market share reached 32.5%, pulling the YTD EV Share close to 30%.

The BMW grabbed the headlines with a jaw-dropping score of 1.014 units, being only the second plug-in model to reach four digits in one month (The other one was the Tesla Model S, with 1.493 units in March '14 and then twelve months later, with 1.140 deliveries).

To have an idea on the size of the surge, the i3 delivered in one month the same number of units it had sold in the first six months of the year...

Speaking of the remaining best selling models, the #2 Outlander PHEV (387 units) has confirmed  itself as a sure value, the same can be said about the #3 VW Golf GTE (378), while in Fourth we have a surprise, with the promising Hyundai Ioniq Electric delivering 282 units in its first real sales month, drying up its hybrid sibling sales, which registered only 39 units.

In fact, this is a Thing now in Norway, with several plug-in models swallowing their ICE relatives sales, like it was the case of the aforementioned Ioniq, but also the BMW 2-Series Act. Tourer (236 units for the PHEV version in November, 14 for the ICE versions), Mercedes B-Class (202 BEV's, 30 ICE's), Audi A3 (221; 49) or the Mitsubishi Outlander (387; 19), just to name a few. When will we see this mirrored elsewhere? 2020? 2021?

But we digress, back to the November Best Sellers, in Fifth Place we have the VW e-Golf with 244 units, its worst score in over two years, it seems buyers are waiting for the improved range 2017 e-Golf. Or is it for the 40 kWh Renault Zoe? Opel Ampera-e? Tesla Model 3?

One thing is for sure, all these models have four-digit-long waiting lists, with rumors that the Tesla has over 10.000 (!) reservations, so during the next two years we should see Norway reach 50% market share, if 2017 seems too early, 2018 and the boatloads of Model 3 arriving to Oslo, Bergen, Trondheim, etc, should allow EV's to become the majority in sales, with the small detail that real world WLTP CO2 emissions should kick in around this same time, making ICE cars even more expensive.


PlModelSales  
1BMW i31.014
2Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV387
3Volkswagen Golf GTE378
4Hyundai Ioniq Electric
282
5Volkswagen e-Golf 244


Looking at the year-to-date ranking, if the first two positions seem already destined, with the Outlander PHEV preparing to be the first plug-in hybrid to wear the Best Seller jersey in Norway, the Third Spot is still open to discussion, with November bringing another change, with the VW Golf GTE and Nissan Leaf changing positions once again, this time to the advantage of the German (hot) hatch, recovering the Third Place, with both models separated by 127 units, the VW product is the favorite for the Bronze Medal, but it still has to keep an eye on the oldtimer, just to make sure it doesn't pull out some last minute trick and spoils the party.

The Audi A3 e-Tron climbed to #7, switching positions with the Tesla Model S, which is selling half of what it did in previous years, is the Californian car becoming tired in Norway? Unfavorable exchange rates? Or is it just a case of internal competition, as the fresh Tesla Model X is now the hippest thing on the EV block? The 122 deliveries of the SUV-Minivan-Sports Car seem to point that way, allowing it to climb to #14 on the plug-in ranking, while at the same time surpassing the BMW X5 PHEV and becoming the  best selling Luxury SUV in this ranking. Not bad for a model that only arrived six months ago.

By the way, there will be some fiscal changes for 2017, which will have no impact on BEV's, but large PHEV's will become cheaper, so expect Luxury SUV's to become a hot topic next year (Volvo XC90, here's your chance to beat the Model X), while large ICE vehicles, like the VW Caravelle, will become more expensive (Expect large/medium plug-in SUV's and the Nissan Evalia to benefit from this).

In the second half of the chart, the recently arrived Hyundai Ioniq Electric is jumping positions, it is now #22, still trying to reach a Top 20 place by year end.

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, Volkswagen (29%, down 1%) is sure to add another Manufacturers trophy (The third in a row), followed from a far by the new Second Placed BMW (14%, up 2%), and then Mitsubishi (12%, down 1%) and Nissan (11%).

Looking at Fuel Cell numbers, Hyundai registered three FCEV's last month, with the Korean increasing the lead in the YTD count to six units (13 Hyundai vs 7 Toyota), despite the Mirai being a more recent product and have better specs.  

PlNorwayNov.YTD%'15Pl
1Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV3874.877124
2Volkswagen e-Golf2444.480111
3Volkswagen Golf GTE3784.032106
4Nissan Leaf2383.90593
5BMW i31.0143.53385
6
7
8
Volkswagen Passat GTE
Audi A3 e-Tron
Tesla Model S
173
221
48
2.393
1.914
1.788
6
5
4
20
7
2
9Renault Zoe1001.74348
10Mercedes B250e2021.727410
11
12
BMW 225xe Active Tourer
Kia Soul EV
236
95
1.240
1.122
3
3
N/A
11
13
Volkswagen e-Up!
1281.03729
14
15
16
Tesla Model X
Mercedes C350e
BMW X5 40e
122
62
53
1.005
967
938
2
2
2
N/A
22
19
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35

Volvo V60 Plug-In
Volvo XC90 T8
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia *
Mercedes GLC350e
Audi Q7 e-Tron
Hyundai Ioniq Electric
Peugeot iOn
BMW 330e
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Citröen C-Zero
Mercedes GLE500e
Peugeot Partner EV
Renault Kangoo ZE
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
Renault Twizy
Ford Focus Electric
BMW i8
Smart Fortwo ED
Citröen Berlingo EV
Others
68
14
50
74
35
282
28
17
26
12
3
16
9
3
5
1


9
5
708
686
683
622
367
353
328
290
268
208
158
135
127
104
71
47
35
33
29
42
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
12
N/A
14
N/A
N/A
N/A
13
N/A
26
16
27
18
17
24
29
21
25
15
23


TOTAL4.35841.995100

* - 24 Pass + 26 Lcv

Source: elbil.no; ofvas.no

Hat tip to Terje for the help on the 2017 changes!

Models breakdown by Fuel Source


PlModelSales  
1BMW i31.014
2Toyota RAV4513
3Volkswagen Tiguan406
4Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV387
5
6
7
8
9
10
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Skoda Octavia
Toyota Auris
Toyota Yaris
Volkswagen Golf ICE
Hyundai Ioniq Electric
378
348
320
311
283
282

With some 30% share, plug-ins performance in the general ranking is more relevant than ever, besides the obvious result of the BMW i3, absolute leader in November, of the 905 units sold by the Best Seller VW Golf last month, only 283, or 31%, didn't had a plug.

Splitting models by fuel source, November was the Third consecutive time that a BEV was the Best Seller, following on the Tesla Model X leadership in September, the BMW i3 was #1 in the last two months, and by the way, all units delivered were 100% electric in these last two months.

In the following positions we have three SUV's, all with different powertrains, the #2 RAV4 is a regular hybrid, the #3 Tiguan is pure ICE (When will VW release the GTE version?), while the #4 Outlander PHEV is plug-in hybrid. This is like saying that customers want SUV's, no matter how they get their propulsion...

The remaining plug-ins in the Top 10 are the VW Golf GTE, #6 with 378 units and the recently arrived Hyundai Ioniq Electric, showing up at #10, with 282 units.

Denmark November 2016



Zoe #1 in half full, half empty market


The 227 units registered last month were the second best result of the year, with the EV Share growing to a year best score of 0.55%, so in isolation it looks that the market is going forward, until you realise that the same month last year there were 648 units...And the YTD tally was counting 3.110 units. True, last year sales were inflated by fiscal changes, so it wouldn't be fair to compare different realities, but comparing 2016 sales with 2014, sales are still down 15%. Mmmm...

The top two models concentrate 64% of sales, with the Renault Zoe leading with 477 units and 43% share, followed by the BMW i3 (232 units, 21%), which registered 34 units in November, all full-electrics, while the Third Place is being disputed by the Tesla siblings, with the Model X beating its Model S older brother by 59 to 58 (A first in any YTD ranking).

Looking at the rest of the models ranking, only two other models register two digit sales, with the Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia twins jumping to #6, thanks to a year best 14 units, while the recent Mercedes GLC350e is ready to have a shot at the PHEV Best Seller trophy, now that is only five units from the class leader, the Mercedes C350e.


PlDenmarkNov.     YTD%'15Pl
1Renault Zoe137477434
2
3
BMW i3 *
Tesla Model X
34
6
232
59
21
5
2
N/A
4
5
6
Tesla Model S
Volkswagen e-Up!
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia **
5
1
14
58
49
39
5
4
3
1
8
3
7Mercedes C350e   e)53037
8Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV329310
9
Nissan Leaf62835
10
11
11
13
14
Mercedes GLC350e   e)
Volvo XC90 T8
Volkswagen Passat GTE
Kia Soul EV
Volkswagen e-Golf
10

5
1

25
20
20
16
11
2
2
2
1
1
N/A
N/A
N/A
12
6
13Mercedes GLE500e
61N/A
13
15
15
17
18
18
18
18
BMW 225xe Active Tourer
BMW X5 40e
Mercedes S500e
Peugeot Partner EV
Mercedes B250e
BMW i8
Renault Kangoo ZE
BMW 740e








5
4
4
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
N/A
N/A
N/A
17
9
16
14
N/A

TOTAL2271.118100

Source: www.bilimp.dk

* - 34 Bev
** - 12 Pass + 2 Lcv

Monday, December 5, 2016

USA November 2016

Image result for Toyota Prius Prime solar panel

Prius lands in Prime Time

Over 13.000 new EV's were registered in the US of A last November, with YoY sales up 26% and the last month market share just shy of 1%, pushing the YTD EV Share slightly up to 0.84%, the US market is already in record levels, having beaten the 2015 volumes of 120.000 units, with December expected to surpass the 20.000 units landmark, we could be talking on a final tally close to 160.000 units.

With Tesla performing below expectations, it seems the new Autonomous Drive hardware addition took more time to tune in, so the Best Seller of the Month trophy went for the second time in a row for the Chevrolet Volt, the first time the GM modelplate did so since 2012(!),  with the 2.531 units, which was not only a record result of the Second Generation Volt, but also the best result in over two years, when the Volt reached 3.351 sales in August 2014.

It seems that unlike what was to be expected, the upcoming Bolt is not harming its plug-in hybrid relative, but actually helping it...Way to go, Chevy!

Looking below, yes we see some interesting performances, like the 1.817 Ford Fusion Energi sales, its best result in two years, cementing its Third Spot, but maybe not enough to resist the December push by the Tesla Model X, yes, the Nissan Leaf had a year best result, with 1.457 units, but really, the headlining news for November was the thunderous arrival of the Toyota Prius Prime, also known as Second Generation Prius PHEV. 

With 781 units delivered in its landing month, it was the best debut performance ever in this market, leaving strong credentials as nominee for the 2017 Best Seller Award. Profiting from a loyal (and extensive) customer base, decent range and competitive price, it seems Toyota has a winner in its hands, should the Japanese maker want it (And i think it does). Chevrolet Bolt, you may have just found your nemesis...

In the brands ranking, Tesla (28%) is comfortable in the leadership and must be preparing the catering for its Manufacturers trophy party, while Chevrolet (18%) is keeping its (small) advantage over the Third Placed Ford (17%), but with its Bolt all-electric model landing in December, Chevrolet should have enough deliveries not only to secure the Silver Medal, but actually to increase the distance.


Pl
USA
Nov.
YTD
%
1
Tesla Model S e)
1.400
23.571
18
2
Chevrolet Volt
2.531
21.048
16
3
Ford Fusion Energi
1.817
14.839
11
4
Tesla Model X e)
810
13.741
10
5
Nissan Leaf
1.457
12.107
9
6
BMW i3
629
6.834
5
7
Ford C-Max Energi
721
6.668
5
8
BMW X5 40e
436
5.426
4
9
Fiat 500e
390
4.180
3
10
Audi A3 e-Tron
394
3.691
3
11
Volkswagen e-Golf
305
3.494
3
12
13
14
15
Chevrolet Spark EV
Hyundai Sonata PHEV
Por. Cayenne PHEV
Volvo XC90 T8
39
285
179
161
3.018
2.770
1.959
1.811
2
2
1
1
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Kia Soul EV
BMW i8
Ford Focus Electric
Toyota Prius Prime
BMW 330e
Smart Fortwo ED
Mercedes B250e
Cadillac ELR
Mercedes S550e
Por. Panamera PHEV
Bolloré Blue Car
Mercedes GLE550e
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Toyota Prius Plug-In
Porsche 918
179
173
66
781
215
47
52
5
52
88

30
5

1.531
1.461
800
781
630
617
578
531
479
390
160
148
91
52
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
TOTAL
13.247
133.407
100

 e) Estimate

Source: Inside EV's

Friday, December 2, 2016

Sweden November 2016

Sweden's plug-in favorite


33 kWh units arrive and BMW i3 Shines
We start the month with the usual Swedish EV market, which registered 1.322 units, an improvement of 65% over the same period last year, with the EV Share hitting once again record heights, at 3.6% and YTD registrations reaching 12.195 units.

Looking at the monthly models ranking, the VW Passat GTE increased its winning streak to an amazing 10 consecutive months, with 295 units, but this time the race was closer than usual, with last year Best Seller, the Outlander PHEV, registering 280 units, its year best.

Looking at the remaining Top 5 seats, besides the usual local representatives (V60 in #3 and XC90 in #5), the surprise came from the Fourth Placed BMW i3, due to the arrival of the first volume batch of 33 kWh units, the German hot hatch delivered a record 95 units, 67 of them being BEV's, a significant number considering that the Range Extended units were the preferred flavor in this market.

PlModelSales  
1Volkswagen Passat GTE295
2Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV280
3Volvo V60 Plug-In121
4BMW i3 *95
5
Volvo XC90 T8
73

Looking at the YTD ranking, the leader Passat GTE is in a league of its own, with 3.654 units and 30% share, while the remaining podium seats also look attributed, regarding the Best Selling BEV trophy, the Nissan Leaf has a 68 unit lead over the Tesla Model S, but considering the usual last-month-of-the-quarter-peak of the Californian model, that might not be enough to win this class.

There were few changes in the ranking, with the BMW i3 climbing one position to #8, the BMW 225xe Act. Tourer (37 units, new pb) displacing the Tesla Model X (32 units, a rather disappointing performance) back to #13, while the Audi Q7 e-Tron (20 units, new pb) kept jumping places, being now at #21.

The Hyundai Ioniq Electric had its first full month in this market, scoring 10 units, a positive result that might forecast a Top 10 place for the talented Korean next year.

On the EV manufacturers ranking, Volkswagen (35%, down 1%) has this market covered, with Volvo (16%) securing the runner-up status (A goof departure from the 2015 Fourth Place), while Mitsubishi (13%, up 1%) and BMW (13%, 1%) are running to secure the last place in the podium.


PlSwedenNov.YTD '16%'15Pl
1
2
3
Volkswagen Passat GTE
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Volvo V60 Plug-In
295
280
121
3.654
1.556
1.102
30
13
9
11
1
4
4Volvo XC90 T873837712
5
Nissan Leaf
577596
3
6Tesla Model S3669162
7BMW 330e635565N/A
8
9
10
11
BMW i3 *
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Renault Zoe
BMW X5 40e
95
33
35
27
462
402
345
230
4
3
3
2
7
5
6
16
12
13
14
BMW 225xe Active Tourer
Tesla Model X
Renault Kangoo ZE
37
32
20
207
206
150
2
2
1
N/A
N/A
14
14Audi A3 e-Tron1514518
16Volkswagen e-Golf
10
117110
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
28
30
31
32
33
33
33

Mercedes C350e
Kia Optima PHEV
Volkswagen e-Up!
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia **
Audi Q7 e-Tron
Peugeot Partner EV
Toyota Prius Plug-In
Renault Twizy
Kia Soul EV
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
BMW i8
Mercedes B250e
Mercedes GLC350e
Mercedes GLE500e
Hyundai Ioniq Electric
BMW 740e
Porsche Panamera Plug-In
Citroen Berlingo EV
Mercedes S500e
Others
11
16
9
4
20
1


7
4
2

3

10
1

2
1

114
110
104
79
63
48
45
37
35
30
22
15
15
13
11
10
4
4
4
8
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
17
N/A
13
9
N/A
24
15
8
19
N/A
20
21
N/A
27
N/A
N/A
26
23
24


TOTAL
1.322
12.195
100


* - 28 Rex + 67 Bev

** - 2 pass + 2 lcv


Plug-Ins Versus Regular Hybrids

PlModelOct.
1Toyota Auris Hybrid406
2Volkswagen Passat GTE295
3Mitsu. Outlander PHEV280
4Toyota Yaris Hybrid203
5Volvo V60 Plug-In121

Combining November sales of regular hybrids with plug-ins, there were no big surprises, with the Toyota Auris Hybrid recovering the Top Spot, followed by the VW Passat GTE and Mitsu Outlander PHEV.

The other regular hybrid in the ranking, the Toyota Yaris Hybrid, is Fourth, with the Volvo V60 Plug-in closing this Top 5.

Source: bilsweden.se