Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Finland September 2014


Tesla really needs the AWD versions to revive the Model S sales

Leaf surprise #1

With one month delay, we have the numbers from Finland, with 37 plug-ins sold and 308 units YTD (0,35% EV Share), this small market is doubling sales regarding last year, this growth exists despite some plug-in friendly brands being absent, like Renault or BMW, by the way, does anybody know why this is happening?

The Nissan Leaf made a Personal Best in September, selling 15 units and performing a surprising Best Seller title in September, ahead of the new poster-boy of this market, the 4x4 Mitsu Outlander PHEV, which has almost double the sales of the #2 YTD, the Model S from Tesla, which is counting with the AWD versions coming next year to have a say in the leadership race.

The other AWD Plug-In, the Volvo V60 Plug-In is #4, with 12% share, which together with the 36% of the japanese SUV, make 48% of the market with Four Wheel Drive, something that leaves promising signs for the PHEV Cayenne and Volvo XC90, or the AWD Teslas.

PlFinlandSept '14YTD '14%Pl '13
1
2
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Tesla Model S
9
7
111
65
36
21
N/A
7
3Nissan Leaf1551173
4Volvo V60 Plug-In 136121
5Toyota Prius Plug-In31862
6Opel Ampera21344
7Porsche Panamera Plug-In
728
8
9
10
Ford Focus Electric
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Fisker Karma



4
2
1
1
3
1
N/A
5
8

TOTAL37308100

Source: trafi.fi

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Portugal October 2014


"Oh Sunny Day...."

Better Days Edition

There were some 25 EV's sold last month in Portugal, placing the EV Share at 0,22%, a smidge below last year performance (0,23%), but the 266 units sold this year are already a record number for this small EV market.

"So why isn't the EV Share higher?" - One might ask.

The answer lies in the recovery of the Portuguese Auto Market, with growth rates at some 40-50%, following the electric segment growth.

Looking at the models ranking, the Nissan Leaf recovered a bit, selling 9 units, cementing the YTD Second Place, while the BMW i8 registered 4 units, an impressive result, which becomes even more amazing if we consider that the smaller i3 only sold one unit and those four units allowed it to be #2 in October.

The Renault Twizy also outsold the Zoe (4 vs 2), while the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV had 26 confirmed registered units until last September, so i will make an estimate of another 4 units in October, making 30 sales YTD and 11% share of the EV market, a fantastic result for a PHEV in Portugal, considering that last year ALL PHEV's had only 9% share.

With PHEV's finally being granted fiscal benefits in 2015, it wouldn't be surprising if the Japanese SUV became a serious fighter for the Best Seller title next year and plug-in hybrids as a whole expanded significantly their current 25% share of the market.

In the manufacturers ranking, Renault (35% Share) kicked BMW (27%) from the Top Spot, while Nissan continues in #3, with 18% Share.

PlPortugal
Oct.
2014
%
Pl '13
1BMW i316023
7
2Nissan Leaf94918
3
3
4
Renault Twizy
Mit. Outlander PHEV e)
4
4
41
30
15
11
1
N/A
5Renault Zoe2228
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
Smart Fortwo ED
Porsche Panamera Plug-In
BMW i8
Toyota Prius Plug-In
Volkswagen e-Up!
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Opel Ampera
Volvo V60 Plug-In
Volkswagen e-Golf
Peugeot iOn


4






1
17
12
11
9
6
3
2
2
1
1
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9
8
N/A
N/A
2

TOTAL25266100

Source: Best Selling Cars Blog; ACAP

e) Estimate

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Germany October 2014



Second Life Edition

 Now that there's a new ICE Smart Fortwo flooding the streets of German Megacities, the older ED version seems to have been blessed with a Second Life here, performing its best result of the year (263 units), for how long will this go no seems to be the question, but for now this is the second consecutive Best Seller title for the electric Smart, allowing it to recover the Second Place in the YTD chart.


The Zoe also had a brilliant result (178 units), it seems that Renault is finally understanding how to sell its car properly, while in Third there's the BMW i3, selling just 133 units, sales lately have been dwindling in its home country, is this a case of production constraints, or is something else playing here?

The Outlander PHEV (89 units) was #5 and is now a frequent appearance in the monthly Top 5.


PlModel
Sales  
1Smart Fortwo ED263
2Renault Zoe178
3BMW i3133
4Volkswagen e-Up! e)120
5Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV89

Looking at the YTD ranking, the first positions only had one relevant change with the aforementioned rise of the Smart ED to #2, but the second half of the ranking had several changes, with the Merc B-Class ED in #18, while the S500 Plug-In is #19.


With 32 models now on sale, it is now possible to make segmentation, in the city cars, the VW e-Up! and Smart are fighting for #1, the Superminis are dominated by the BMW i3, the e-Golf is still to catch the Nissan Leaf in the Compact segment, the Volvo V60 Plug-In is alone in the Midsize cars, while the larger-sized segment is dominated by the Tesla Model S, but this month the #1 was for the Merc S500...

The SUV's are Outlander PHEV territory, although the Cayenne might have a word on this next year, while the ever improving BMW i8 (75 units!) has no real competition in the Sports Cars segment. Finally, MPV's and LCV's have few representatives, with the Mercedes B-Class winning the MPV segment and the Kangoo ZE the LCV's.


PlGermanyOct.YTD'14%'13 Pl
1BMW i3 1332.002205
2Smart Fortwo ED2631.286121
3Volkswagen e-Up! e)1201.234129
4Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV899339N/A
5Renault Zoe17891992
6Nissan Leaf7474673
7Tesla Model S1759368
8Renault Twizy3353554
9Volkswagen e-Golf e)795015N/A
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
31
Volvo V60 Plug-In
BMW i8
Audi A3 e-Tron
Porsche Panamera Plug-In
Toyota Prius Plug-In
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Volkswagen Golf GTE
 Opel Ampera
Mercedes B-Class ED
Mercedes S500 Plug-In
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
Renault Kangoo ZE
Peugeot iOn
Porsche 918 e)
Citröen C-Zero
Nissan e-NV200
Ford Focus Electric
Volvo C30 Electric
Kia Soul EV
Chevrolet Volt
Volkswagen XL1 e)
Renault Fluence ZE
Citröen Berlingo EV
33
75
5
24
8
12
16
13
17
26
30

1
4
1
11
2



1

353
299
255
122
120
106
105
90
44
43
38
33
29
28
27
20
19
17
12
11
5
1
1
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
11
N/A
N/A
16
N/A
10
N/A
6
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
13
N/A
7
N/A
14
N/A
N/A
15
N/A
12
N/A
TOTAL1.25210.526100




Source: kba.de

e) Estimate

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Switzerland October 2014


The i8 is shining...

Renault Strikes Back

Having been leader in the past in Switzerland (Twizy was #1 in 2012 and the Zoe in 2013), Renault was outshined this year by BMW and Tesla, but October was payback time, with the Zoe selling 32 units and winning its first Best-Seller title since last January, while the Twizy was #3, with 16 units. 

In the rest of the ranking, the Nissan Leaf made a year best performance, selling 14 units, while the BMW i8 continues to impress, selling a record 11 units, securing it a #5 position in October, alongside the Tesla Model S(!). With the Bimmer sports car improving every passing month, will we see it win a podium seat sometime soon? Or even outsell its smaller brother i3? 


Looking at the global Swiss EV Market, the EV Share is at 0,59% (vs 0,44% in '13), and it's safe to say that it will end the year in record territory, with the 1.409 units sold this year already beating the 1.368 units of 2013 and really close from the record 1.463 units sold in 2012.

PlSwitzerlandOct.2014%'13Pl
1Tesla Model S11357252
2BMW i327314226
3Renault Zoe32284201
4Renault Twizy 16110103
5Nissan Leaf148164
6Mitsubishi I-Miev47055
7Opel Ampera15247
8Chevrolet Volt13637
9BMW i811322N/A
10Fisker Karma1119
11McLaren P11121N/A
12Porsche 918191N/A
13
14
Citröen C-Zero
Peugeot iOn
1

8
7
1
1
10
11

TOTAL1191.409100

Source: auto-suisse.ch

Friday, November 14, 2014

China October 2014

BYD "Model X": The "Tang" SUV


Back To Earth Edition


After an amazing September, where the numbers reached unheard heights (11.000 units), the Chinese EV market is back to more normal numbers, with close to 7.000 units, which still the second best selling month ever, pulling the EV Share yet again to 0,37%. 

These are impressive numbers, even if Kandi had an off-month (It seems they are reading Tesla roadbook of low first quarter month and record-beating last month quarter...) sales continued strong, with the BYD Qin beating its sales record for zillionth tenth time in a row, now at 1.702 units, enough to win its first Monthly Best Seller title since last March, will we see this PHEV sedan surpass the 2.000 units in December? I wouldn't bet against it.

The third best selling model in October was the Zotye E20, once again above the 1.000 mark, with 1.021 sales and looking to catch the YTD Third Spot this year.

Looking at Tesla the number estimated is more a Leap of Faith than a true estimate, there's no way of knowing if America's favourite brand has shifted away from the average 500 units, but considering waning sales in Europe and the average numbers in North America, and also reports that Tesla has some 3.000 units in transit(!), i believe sales for Tesla in Asia will surge until the end of the year, so it wouldn't be a surprise if sales started to rise in China.

A final reference to BAIC, with a record 696 sales last month, it looks that the E150 EV is finally delivering to a level of its promises. It needs too, now that BMW, Volkswagen and others are now seriously looking to sell EV's in China.


PlChinaOct  YTD%'13Pl
1Kandi EV e)1.70017.53536N/A
2BYD Qin1.70211.175239
3
4
5
6
7

Chery QQ3 EV e)
Zotye E20
Tesla Model S e)
BYD e6
BAIC E150 EV
Others
500
1.021
800
199
696
152
6.316
5.463
3.649
2.203
1.579
1.343
13
11
7
4
3
3
1
N/A
N/A
3
5


TOTAL6.77049.263100

e) Estimate

Source: http://www.chooseauto.com.cn/

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Austria October 2014


"You can order the Medals" Edition 

The Austrian EV market is back to the hundreds, this time there were 133 EV's sold, a 66% improvement over the same month last year, pulling the EV Share slightly up to 0,52%, which is twice the share of 2013 (0,26%).

Looking at the models ranking,the angry puppy  i3 continues in the leadership, while last year leader Renault Zoe had a good sales month (46 units, second best performance of the year), apparently securing its current runner-up position from the #3 VW e-Up!, which also has its bronze medal well in its hands.

Below these three, things are a bit more spicy, with the Nissan Leaf slowly sneaking up to the #4 Tesla Model S (Only two units sold!) and the #6 Volvo V60 Plug-In all of the sudden having a sales burst (18 units), which has put it on the road to fight for the Fourth Position.

Looking into the manufacturers ranking, BMW and Renault are now tied (26% share), while VW continues in #3 (15%) and is waiting desperately for back-ups (Golf GTE and more e-Golf). 

PlAustriaOct.YTD%'13Pl
1BMW i3 *31351268
2Renault Zoe46281211
3Volkswagen e-Up!131951511
4Tesla Model S210385
5
6
Nissan Leaf
Volvo V60 Plug-In
8
18
91
81
7
6
3
7
7Smart Fortwo ED56854
8Renault Twizy
6152
9Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV5604N/A
10Opel Ampera22826
11
12
Mitsubishi I-Miev
Volkswagen e-Golf
1
3
4
3
0
0
9
N/A
12
12
12
12
16
Kia Soul EV
Nissan e-NV200
Renault Fluence ZE
Ford Focus Electric
Chevrolet Volt
1



1
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
N/A
N/A
10
15
14

TOTAL1331.335100

* - 23 BEV + 8 REX

Source: http://myampera.wordpress.com

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

France October 2014 (Updated)

Inside the Bolloré Blue Car. Kind of reminds of Lancia, doesn't it?

Back to Normal Edition

After shattering records in September, the French EV market returned to normality, selling 1.551 units, a 50% decrease regarding the month before, but it was still the third best month of the year, good news then, which despite a small EV Share decrease to 0,84%, the number is still above last year result of 0,83%.

Looking at the monthly models ranking, the Outlander PHEV is no longer upsetting the usual front runners, with the usual 1-2-3 distribution (Zoe-Kangoo ZE-Leaf), with Bolloré tied with the japanese hatch in #3 and BMW i3 rounding up the table.


PlModelSales  
1
Renault Zoe
718
2Renault Kangoo ZE274
3Nissan Leaf120
3Bolloré Blue Car120
5BMW i3 64

In the YTD table, the top positions continued the same, with both VW's rising one position (e-Up! to #11 and e-Golf to #16), while Tesla sold only two Model S, performing the worst result of the year for the american brand.

Finally, a mention to the 32 Kia Soul EV registered, which might mean that in 2015 Kia could be an important player here. 

PlFranceOct.YTD%'13Pl
1Renault Zoe7184.246331
2Renault Kangoo ZE 2742.170172
3Nissan Leaf1201.374113
4Bolloré Blue Car1201.00884
5Mit. Outlander PHEV e)606625N/A
6BMW i3 64503413
7Smart Fortwo ED4644347
8Renault Twizy e)
50
42135
9Goupil G3 4133836
10Tesla Model S2220218
11Volkswagen e-Up! e)18211215
12Peugeot iOn4196211
13Citröen C-Zero6147112
14
15
16
17
17
19
20
20
22
23
24
25
26
26
Nissan e-NV200
Opel Ampera
Volkswagen e-Golf e)
Volvo V60 Plug-In
Peugeot Partner EV e)
Citröen Berlingo EV e)
Porsche Panamera P.-In e)
Toyota Prius Plug-In e) 
Kia Soul EV
Mia Electric
Ford Focus Electric
Renault Fluence ZE
Mc Laren P1
Fisker Karma
16

10

10
10

5
5
32





143
120
81
72
72
66
48
48
43
11
8
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
N/A
16
N/A
9
N/A
N/A
14
8
N/A
10
22
19
N/A
21

TOTAL1.61112.648100

e) Estimate

 


Source: Avere France; Avem.fr