Tesla Model 3 runs to the leadership
1. Nissan Leaf (422.708)
2. Tesla Model S (277.176)
3. Tesla Model 3 (276.193)
4. Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV (215.385)
5. BYD Qin / Qin Pro (PHEV+BEV) (184.692)
As one can see, the Nissan Leaf is still haed and shoulders ahead of the competition, but the surging Tesla Model 3 is already in 3rd place, having most certainly risen to SeCond in July, while the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV is the surviving plugin hybrid in the Top 5.
Closing the Top 5, the BYD Qin remained in #5, but for this to happen, we have to count the regular Qin and the larger Qin Pro, both in BEV and PHEV versions.
If we would consider only BEV models, and therefore exclude all the PHEV models, which BEV models would then be in position 4 and position 5?
Using http://ev-sales.blogspot.com/2018/11/global-all-time-top-5-until-oct-18.html as starting point, the BAIC EC-series should still be safe in position 4, with some 181,000; while the i3 with ~158,000 could still be edging out the Zoe with ~157,000 -- though the count i3 includes a bunch of REx models, so not strictly BEV...Delete
Don't think anything else might have caught up to these?
Perhaps the VW e-Golf has not yet reached/crossed the 150,000 cumulative sales milestone?
Not even close... Should be something like 133,000 or so.Delete
(That's an estimate, since it didn't even show up in the global top 20 for 2018: but looking at this year to date, close to 80% of sales have been in Europe -- so I extrapolated from European sales based on that...)
Leaf - Model-3 = 150 000 units. Selling an extra 10 000 more units / month, Model-3 could pass Leaf in 15 months and this sounds doable.ReplyDelete
The monthly difference in sales is actually way larger than that on average -- I'm pretty sure the Model 3 will overtake the Leaf in cumulative sales by early 2020. In order for this to take another 15 months, the Model 3 would need to see a terrible collapse going forward, and/or the Leaf see an amazing acceleration... Neither of which seems very likely at this point.Delete