My bets for the 2025 top 5 OEMs:
xEV
- BYD
- Geely
- Tesla
- SAIC
- VW Group
BEV
- BYD
- Tesla
- Geely
- SAIC
- VW Group
What are your bets?


My bets for the 2025 top 5 OEMs:
xEV
BEV
What are your bets?


Rising BYD was the best selling EV maker in 2024
Best Selling legacy brand was BMW(!), in 5th, behind a rising #4 Geely
Looking at 2025, expect BYD to continue rising, Tesla to drop below the 10% mark, but retain the 2nd position, while Geely will go all out and try displace Wuling from the 3rd spot.
Considering the difference in firepower between both brands, not only regarding lineup, but also number of markets where both are present, it is likely that Geely will end the year in 3rd, this being the podium by the end of the year:
1. BYD
2. Tesla
3. Geely
A final note on Toyota, the legacy brand that most progressed in the top 20(!)
Comparing 2023 with 2024, the Japanese car maker jumped from #19 to #14, growing its market share by almost 50%(!), to 1.5%.
And with Toyota apparently being serious in making the new Urban Cruiser crossover a success, it should continue climbing in the table.
(Well, it was about time for Toyota to take the EV game seriously)


The year ended in Europe with a 23% plugin share (16% BEV).
This was more or less on par with the 2023 result (24% PEV, 16% BEV), and also 2022 (23% PEV, 14% BEV).
Expect this year things to improve significantly, especially on the BEV side, thanks to the EU's 2025 CO2 targets.
So...Maybe 28% PEV share in 2025? What do you think? Am i being pessimistic or optimistic?

48% share if we include PHEVs.
So...2025 could end with 63% PEV share?
Too little? Too much? What is your bet?

EV Sales
World Top 20 February 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/04/01/the-top-20-electric-cars-in-the-world-february-2022/
Europe February 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/28/20-of-new-cars-in-europe-have-a-plug/
China February 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/25/20-plugin-vehicle-market-share-in-china-byd-shining/
Germany February 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/19/tesla-model-3-model-y-top-ev-sales-in-germany-in-february/
France February 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/16/plugin-vehicles-20-of-new-car-sales-in-france/
Netherlands February 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/15/lynk-co-28-of-new-cars-sold-in-netherlands-now-plugin-cars/
Autovista 24 articles
Toyota electrification efforts
https://autovista24.autovistagroup.com/news/analysis-toyota-needs-renewed-focus-electrification/
UK EV Deep Dive
https://autovista24.autovistagroup.com/news/uk-car-market-europes-pioneer-for-electric-car-adoption/
World Top 20 January 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/05/the-worlds-top-selling-electric-vehicles-january-2022/
Europe January 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/02/100-electric-vehicles-10-of-new-car-sales-in-europe-in-january/
China January 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/01/the-rise-rise-of-the-chinese-ev-market-17-market-share-in-january/
Germany January 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/02/22/22-ev-market-share-in-germany-fiat-500e-is-1/
France January 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/02/10/18-of-new-cars-were-plugin-vehicles-in-france-in-january/
Netherlands January 2022 - https://cleantechnica.com/2022/02/09/plugin-vehicles-23-of-new-car-sales-in-netherlands-in-january/