Me and my partners from EV Volumes, which by the way, published some interesting graphs on the last Q4 Europe article, were discussing in this past week how 2016 would be in the EV World, with some forecasts for the main markets and models, and with some EV Sales readers asking for some forecasts here, we decided to put it on
paper online and in a year from now we will see how much did we got it right.
|World #1||BYD Tang||Mit. Outlander PHEV||N/A|
|China #1||BYD Tang||BYD Tang||BYD Tang|
|USA #1||Chevrolet Volt||Chevrolet Volt||Tesla Model S|
|Japan #1||Nissan Leaf||Mit. Outlander PHEV||Mit. Outlander PHEV|
|Europe #1||Mit. Outlander PHEV||Mit. Outlander PHEV||Mit. Outlander PHEV|
|Netherlands #1||Mit. Outlander PHEV||Mit. Outlander PHEV||Mit. Outlander PHEV|
|Norway #1||Volkswagen e-Golf||Volkswagen e-Golf||Volkswagen e-Golf|
|UK #1||Mit. Outlander PHEV||Mit. Outlander PHEV||Mit. Outlander PHEV|
|France #1||Renault Zoe||Renault Zoe||Renault Zoe|
|Germany #1||VW Passat GTE||Kia Soul EV||Kia Soul EV|
A few comments, on these numbers, Roland thinks the Outlander PHEV will be the new Global #1, but only if they get the MY17 US launch right. Otherwise he thinks that it's Model S again.
The same goes in the USA, Roland believes that the Volt will be able to beat the Model S, but isn't 100% sure on that, as a side note, Viktor is optimistic on the Chevy Bolt as he think that it will create an instant impact on the market once it lands later in the year.
Unlike my partners, i think the Nissan Leaf will have a good year in Japan, while Roland is pessimistic on the performance of the Japanese EV market.
Gathering consensus is the fact that The Netherlands will assist a sales slowdown regarding last year, unlike the other large EV markets in Europe.