Sunday, September 18, 2016

China Buses Overview (Through 2010 to 2015)


A lot has been said about the ADL/BYD delivery of 51 Electric Buses in London, said to be the largest fleet in Europe, or the famed BYD buses plant in Lancaster - California, said to have a production target of 1.000 units/year, although these are positive signs that things are moving in the right direction, these numbers are dwarfed by what's going on in China...

Remember a certain article where this topic was scratched at the surface? Even then the numbers seemed huge, didn't they? 

Now, with some more detailed data, i can document the extraordinary and almost unbelievable growth that electric Buses registrations are experiencing in China:

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
BEV 523 1136 1904 1672 12760 94260
PHEV 1478 313 2637 16500 23051
HEV 3804 2825 5825 6111 797


It's hard to believe on these staggering numbers, isn't it?

And harder still when you read this little piece of info...

Anyway, assuming the numbers are real, it is even more outlandish the fact that BYD, that many believe to be the Master on Electric Buses, was actually only the Sixth Largest (5.631 units) plug-in Bus maker in China, behind Yutong (15.369), Nanjing KL (9.012), Zhongtong (8.904), Suzhou KL (7.115) and Dongfeng (5.761) and there are at least 15 Chinese Electric Bus makers, all having sold above 100 units in 2015. 

If anyone wishes to confirm or rebate these arguments, please do so, as it would help a lot to have a better picture of what's going on here.

Off-topic: And to think Volvo, the largest plug-in Bus maker in Europe, has yet to reach the 1.000 units production mark... 


8 comments:

  1. I can't see anyone you listed but that market and maybe also the electric car market isn't completely clean. http://insideevs.com/chinese-government-fines-5-automakers-fraud-electric-car-sales-reporting/

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  2. Well, now it seams that it also includes cars and BYD is suspected, will be interesting to see how this turns out.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-autos-green-idUSKCN11F1C3?feedType=RSS&feedName=environmentNews

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  3. This data appears to be aligned with another article I found that references CAAM as the data source, but I haven't been able to locate the link. Is there any English friendly source where I can view the data and find a manufacturer breakdown (in more detail than you provide in your other article)?

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  4. It's interesting to see how the number of HEV buses first rise and then disappear rapidly. I think that we will see the adoption of electric buses by private and public fleets far more rapidly than individual car fleet. Private company and public service will see the economic advantage of batteries buses as the the better choice (and far less maintenance for all the buses than for ICE buses). In the other hand, buying and trade a car by individuals is a far more emotional choice (fidelity to a brand, autonomy anxiety, scare of change) and they don't see the economic factor so evidently as a private company because individuals are not used to do the economic maths for long term cost of maintenance and fuel. So, maybe almost all ICE buses could be trade for Electric buses up to 2025, but individual cars will take longer (2035,2040?).

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  5. ChengHang ZhangSeptember 28, 2016

    Actually the booming in 2015 was due to the subsidy rules which wasn't set properly. The sales volumes has already been driven down by government's investigation.
    Also it's Suzhou KL, instead of Suchao KL : )

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    Replies
    1. Thank you for the input, i've updated the Suzhou name :)

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  6. Any updated list of Battery Buses sales ? Who is the leader in Europe ?

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