Thursday, December 28, 2017

World Top 10 November 2017

Image result for BAIC ec series
2017 Best Selling PEV, hands down

Models: BAIC EC-Series hits 16.000 units in Record Month


The September record lasted only two months, as in November registrations grew 72% YoY to over 141.000 units, pulling the 2017 count to over one million (1.039.114 units, to be more precise), up 55% regarding the same period in 2016, and pushing the total stock of Plug-in passenger cars in the World to almost 3.3 millions. 

Considering this brilliant performance, i think it is safe to say that December will be the Mother of all records, with numbers possibly hitting 180k. Ambitious? Maybe, but i think the stars are aligned for it.

In November it was all about the BAIC EC-Series reaching once again historic levels (15.719 units, new all-time record for a single model for the second third time in a row), allowing the Chinese model to order the 2017 Best Seller title with one month in advance.

This is the first time a Chinese model wins such title, and most interestingly, the winner didn't came from the BYD stable, something few could imagine some 18 months ago...

The EC-Series wasn't the only Chinese model to shine in November, as six of the Top 10 Best Selling models in November came from that same country, besides the aforementioned BAIC EC-Series (#1), the others were: JAC iEV6S/E (#2 - 4.965 units), BYD Qin PHEV (#3 - 4.262), Zhidou D2 EV (#5 - 4.062), JMC E200 (#9 - 3.442), and Chery eQ (#10 - 3.372) 


As for the remaining YTD Top 10, there were two significant changes, with the Tesla Model X (4.185 units, best off-peak performance ever) recovering the Fifth Spot, while in Tenth, we have a surprise, with the Chevrolet Bolt, that's the one with a "B", finally reaching the Top 10, thanks to a record 3.747 deliveries.

Will it remain in #10 by the end of December? There are a lot of candidates, with four models less than 2.000 units behind (BYD e5, JAC iEV6S/E, Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV...), but i believe the most difficult of them to beat will be the Chevy Volt (With a "V"), less than 200 units behind and with the potential to outsell its all-electric sibling in December.

Looking at the BEV / PHEV breakdown, pure electrics are steady at 65%, thanks to the Chinese rise, this being the highest BEV share since 2011(!). 


Pl
WORLDNov. YTD%'16Pl
1BAIC EC-Series15.71964.910642
2Tesla Model S3.88946.95152
3Toyota Prius Prime / PHV3.83146.423464
4
5
6
Nissan Leaf   *
Tesla Model X
Zhidou D2 EV
2.817
4.185
4.062
43.917
41.348
41.155
4
4
4
1
7
32
7Renault Zoe2.01528.54438
8BMW i32.83928.04036
9BYD Song PHEV3.36726.2773N/A
10Chevrolet Bolt  **3.74724.313293

TOTAL 141.0321.039.114

* - Leaf I & II combined
** - Includes Opel Ampera-e

Image result for 2017 Zhidou d2
Zhidou D2 EV


Manufacturers:  BAIC is rising, Chevrolet jumps to #5

BAIC has beaten the all-time record, by registering 17.812 units, and despite maintaining its Fourth Position on the YTD ranking, it has presented its credits to win the Manufacturers Trophy, adding yet another automaker to the thrilling race we are witnessing.

Considering that BYD should make a 13.000-something performance in December, the Chinese OEM should end the year at around 107k, while Tesla should make some 18k in the last month of the year, so it could end at around 107k deliveries, same as BYD.

As for BAIC, expect another record-breaking performance, maybe reaching some 21k units, thus doing 106k units in 2017. The diferences between the three look so small that anything can happen in the manufacturers race.

Chevrolet took advantage of the slow sales of the Japanese Nissan and Toyota, to overcome them, thanks to 6.212 units, a new personal best.

Another interesting story is developing at the bottom end, with the Chinese Roewe gaining a precious lead to secure its Ninth Position, while Volkswagen returned to the Top 10, dumping the slow selling Renault out of the table.

Still, with Renault less than 2.000 units behind, theoretically, the French carmaker can still dream of coming back to the Tenth Spot, but...I just don't see the potential to do it.


PlWORLDNov.YTD%'16Pl
1BYD 12.86993.79291
2Tesla8.42089.01392
3BMW 10.87385.61293
4BAIC 17.81284.55685
5
6
7
Chevrolet 
Nissan 
Toyota
6.212
3.097
3.831
48.481
48.148
46.476
5
5
4
8
4
30
8Zhidou 4.09541.213414
9Roewe
5.101
38.387415
10Volkswagen
4.559
37.79746





15 comments:

  1. What's the last table about? While numbers for China, USA, France may look like the correct YTD data, all others looks like random. Germany 161k, really? From your own data it's just 41k.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Just 41k? How?

      Just BMW alone has 78k.

      Add 33k more from VW and we have already 111k.

      Add Mercedes, Audi, Porsche, StreetScooter and Smart...Which all together add another 50k.

      Hyundai - Kia have 31k;

      Adding Nissan, Mitsubishi, Toyota and Honda we get 110k.

      Delete
    2. If you write sales numbers it can be understan as sales in the countries, not sales by the manufacturers in the countries. That a huge differens and should be explained.

      Delete
    3. It is a table regarding where the manufacturers are from.
      So all Nissan sales goes into Japan. All Hyundai sales goes into South Korea. All Tesla sales goes into USA. Mercedes, Smart, BMW, VW, Audi, Opel etc. into Germany.

      It is not about sales in that country or cars produced there but the brands home countries.

      I loved the table, but I also had to look at it more than once to realize what the numbers were about so some explanation to it would be good. :P

      Delete
    4. I think the table shows the nationality of the manufacturer, rather than where sales take place.

      Delete
    5. Aaaah I got you, it's manufacturers summary by country of manufacturer original base. Some header would be helpful.

      Delete
  2. I think he is confuse because of this YTD plug-in sales in Germany for October: http://ev-sales.blogspot.pt/search/label/Germany, which indicates some 41.000 sales.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Are you including regular hybrids in that list?

    ReplyDelete
  4. I hear you, people, my bad. :)

    I have included a title on the Manufacturer origin ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Why do you keep Renault and Nissan separated? They are part of a single group, which actually includes Mitsubishi as well.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. On this regular ranking, i only cover brands.

      Regarding Automotive Groups, from time to time, i also do a best sellers list, just keep a close eye to the following editions of the Global articles.

      Delete
  6. Comment section is from last month :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I know, for some stupid reason that i don't recall, i started writing the November article on top of the October one...

      Delete
  7. It would be nice to also have the shares of BEV and PHEV in the overall market.

    ReplyDelete
  8. I am glad for Chinese market but I still perceive it as a kind of parallel EV world- don't think their cars will be here in foreseeable time and actually I'm not interested in them.

    ReplyDelete