Thursday, July 4, 2019

Norway June 2019

Resultado de imagem para Model 3 norway

Tesla Shines Bright

Last month, BEVs registrations were up 87% YoY, in a stagnating market (-3%), with every other fuel source dropping (even PHEVs, down a nasty 64%!), which lead to a significant BEV (48%) share, a big departure from the 25% of June '18. 

Looking at the remaining fuels mix, diesel dropped to 14% share, while petrol just keeps on dropping, scoring just 16% share (25% a year ago).

So, despite the steep fall from PHEVs (are buyers waiting for the new wave of plugin hybrids? VW Passat GTE? BMW 330e?), PEVs still collected 61% share of the total market. Not bad, eh?

Looking at last month Top Sellers, it was a Tesla fest, with the Model 3 scoring another peak month,  with 3.012 units, incredibly, no SR/SR+ units were delivered, so there might be another big deliveries peak sometime later this year, when these cheaper ones are (finally) delivered.

In #7 and #9 we had the recovering Model S and Model X, with the first scoring a Year Best result. It seems the recent specs update is starting to pay off...

...But it still wasn't enough for the Model X to beat the Audi e-Tron, that ended the month in 3rd, with 574 registrations, 260 units above the result of the Californian. This is a warning for Tesla, in Norway, VW/Audi has the market position to arrive late and still win! 

So the current Model 3 domination could be threatened next year by the ID.3. But of course, for that to happen, VW would have to ramp up production fast and without constraints...Something that it's still not proven. But let's leave this discussion for next year...
 has the market position to arrive late at the game and still win!
The Nissan Leaf performance was rather disappointing, with the landing of the 62kWh version not enough to stop the sales bleeding (-59%!), was it a case of limited allocation of the new version, is demand just not there for the Japanese hatchback? We will surely know it in the next couple of months.

Looking at the 2019 ranking, the only change in the Top 10 was again the Audi e-Tron, that surpassed the Jaguar i-Pace and now sits at #6. 

Elsewhere, the Climber of the Month was the Tesla Model S, that jumped seven (7!) positions, to #13, surpassing the Volvo S/V90 PHEV twins, and thus becoming the Best Selling full-size car in the market.

Outside the Top 20, a mention to the Mercedes E300e/de twins, that registered 81 units last month, a new record for the E-Class model, while the Opel Ampera-e (hey, remember me?) did even better, with 83 deliveries, a swan song new year best for the Opel BEV, soon to be replaced by the upcoming Opel Corsa EV. Maybe by now Chevrolet should start thinking in distributing in Norway its BEV wearing its own banner?

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, Tesla is uncontested leader (29%, up 3%), being followed by Volkswagen (12%, down 1%) and BMW (10%), while the #4 Hyundai (9%, down 1%) lost ground in the race for Bronze.

With Hyundai and Kia suffering from severe production (read: battery) constraints, the only maker able to steal the 2020 manufacturers title from Tesla, will be Volkswagen.

Models breakdown by Fuel Source

After a discouraging May, plugins, and particularly BEVs, were back with a vengeance, as the Toyota RAV4 Hybrid became the only unplugged model to feature in the Top 10, and right at #2, of all places.

This might be due to the fact that it sits at a market spot (Compact SUV) that has little plugin competition, apart from the heavily production constrained Kia Niro.

Hear that Volkswagen? Peugeot? Others? It's low hanging fruit, people...


  1. AnonymousJuly 04, 2019

    The Toyota RAV4 Hybrid has 4wd the Kia Niro is only 2wd.
    4wd would a big plus in Norway.

  2. AnonymousJuly 04, 2019

    With half of the year elapsed, the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance dropped to third position and the BMW Group overtaked Kia-Hyundai with 4226 registrations.

    From the posted data, Q22019 standings are:

    1st Tesla with 12605 units
    2nd Volkswagen Group with 7537 units
    3rd Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Alliance with 7251 units
    4th BMW Group with 4226 units
    5th Kia-Hyundai with 4070 units

  3. Weren't PHEV sales inflated last June because of upcoming incentive changes?... I don't think new PHEV models will significantly change the trend.

  4. Unlike most people, I always thought the 62 kWh Leaf would be less relevant than the 40 kWh one: while the 40 kWh one sits at an entry-level price point, where it offers the best specs in class, the higher price of the 62 kWh one puts it in another category altogether, where it has to compete with arguably superior offerings like the Kona/Niro, and even the Model 3...

  5. There is no point in introducing the Bolt in Europe. It's a compliance car: when sold at its real cost -- as the Ampera-e has been since GM sold Opel -- there aren't many buyers for it... Too many other offerings at more attractive prices available now.